Trump’s 2026 Truth Social activity has averaged roughly 19 posts per day, yet repeated bursts during politically active stretches have produced weekly totals in the 180–200+ range. The September 1–8 window settled at 180–199 after a Labor Day surge that included more than 37 posts in a single session. The Republican midterm convention in Dallas on September 9–10 immediately preceded the current resolution period, and the September 11 Pentagon ceremony marking the 25th anniversary of the attacks—where Trump linked the 9/11 legacy to the ongoing Iran conflict—has already generated additional posting. Traders assign the highest probability to the 200+ bracket because similar catalysts (midterm messaging, foreign-policy developments, AI-generated content, and rapid-fire commentary) have repeatedly driven daily volumes well above the baseline in recent months. Lower brackets receive limited support given this demonstrated capacity for spikes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated200+ 42%
180-199 24%
160-179 23%
140-159 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
3%
60-79
1%
80-99
1%
100-119
5%
120-139
6%
140-159
15%
160-179
23%
180-199
24%
200+
42%
200+ 42%
180-199 24%
160-179 23%
140-159 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
<20
$830 Vol.
1%
20-39
$156 Vol.
1%
40-59
$119 Vol.
3%
60-79
$116 Vol.
1%
80-99
$106 Vol.
1%
100-119
$142 Vol.
5%
120-139
$117 Vol.
6%
140-159
$126 Vol.
15%
160-179
$178 Vol.
23%
180-199
$566 Vol.
24%
200+
$1,286 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s 2026 Truth Social activity has averaged roughly 19 posts per day, yet repeated bursts during politically active stretches have produced weekly totals in the 180–200+ range. The September 1–8 window settled at 180–199 after a Labor Day surge that included more than 37 posts in a single session. The Republican midterm convention in Dallas on September 9–10 immediately preceded the current resolution period, and the September 11 Pentagon ceremony marking the 25th anniversary of the attacks—where Trump linked the 9/11 legacy to the ongoing Iran conflict—has already generated additional posting. Traders assign the highest probability to the 200+ bracket because similar catalysts (midterm messaging, foreign-policy developments, AI-generated content, and rapid-fire commentary) have repeatedly driven daily volumes well above the baseline in recent months. Lower brackets receive limited support given this demonstrated capacity for spikes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$3,741End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s 2026 Truth Social activity has averaged roughly 19 posts per day, yet repeated bursts during politically active stretches have produced weekly totals in the 180–200+ range. The September 1–8 window settled at 180–199 after a Labor Day surge that included more than 37 posts in a single session. The Republican midterm convention in Dallas on September 9–10 immediately preceded the current resolution period, and the September 11 Pentagon ceremony marking the 25th anniversary of the attacks—where Trump linked the 9/11 legacy to the ongoing Iran conflict—has already generated additional posting. Traders assign the highest probability to the 200+ bracket because similar catalysts (midterm messaging, foreign-policy developments, AI-generated content, and rapid-fire commentary) have repeatedly driven daily volumes well above the baseline in recent months. Lower brackets receive limited support given this demonstrated capacity for spikes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$3,741End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump’s 2026 Truth Social activity has averaged roughly 19 posts per day, yet repeated bursts during politically active stretches have produced weekly totals in the 180–200+ range. The September 1–8 window settled at 180–199 after a Labor Day surge that included more than 37 posts in a single session. The Republican midterm convention in Dallas on September 9–10 immediately preceded the current resolution period, and the September 11 Pentagon ceremony marking the 25th anniversary of the attacks—where Trump linked the 9/11 legacy to the ongoing Iran conflict—has already generated additional posting. Traders assign the highest probability to the 200+ bracket because similar catalysts (midterm messaging, foreign-policy developments, AI-generated content, and rapid-fire commentary) have repeatedly driven daily volumes well above the baseline in recent months. Lower brackets receive limited support given this demonstrated capacity for spikes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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