Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of mid-September 2026, with figures from aggregators such as RealClearPolitics and the New York Times hovering near 38-39 percent amid net ratings of roughly -17 to -20. Persistent voter dissatisfaction with inflation, the cost of living, and tariff policies has anchored these levels, as evidenced by the latest Financial Times survey showing a three-point drop to 33 percent. Republican support remains relatively steady above 70 percent, but broader erosion among independents and on economic handling keeps the distribution of possible September 18 readings tightly clustered. Fresh jobs data, trade announcements, or any late polling shifts within the narrow window could separate the leading bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<37.0 27%
37.0–37.4 27%
38.0–38.4 27%
38.5–38.9 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
<37.0
27%
37.0–37.4
27%
37.5–37.9
25%
38.0–38.4
27%
38.5–38.9
27%
39.0+
27%
<37.0 27%
37.0–37.4 27%
38.0–38.4 27%
38.5–38.9 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
<37.0
$0 Vol.
27%
37.0–37.4
$0 Vol.
27%
37.5–37.9
$0 Vol.
25%
38.0–38.4
$0 Vol.
27%
38.5–38.9
$0 Vol.
27%
39.0+
$0 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of mid-September 2026, with figures from aggregators such as RealClearPolitics and the New York Times hovering near 38-39 percent amid net ratings of roughly -17 to -20. Persistent voter dissatisfaction with inflation, the cost of living, and tariff policies has anchored these levels, as evidenced by the latest Financial Times survey showing a three-point drop to 33 percent. Republican support remains relatively steady above 70 percent, but broader erosion among independents and on economic handling keeps the distribution of possible September 18 readings tightly clustered. Fresh jobs data, trade announcements, or any late polling shifts within the narrow window could separate the leading bins.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of mid-September 2026, with figures from aggregators such as RealClearPolitics and the New York Times hovering near 38-39 percent amid net ratings of roughly -17 to -20. Persistent voter dissatisfaction with inflation, the cost of living, and tariff policies has anchored these levels, as evidenced by the latest Financial Times survey showing a three-point drop to 33 percent. Republican support remains relatively steady above 70 percent, but broader erosion among independents and on economic handling keeps the distribution of possible September 18 readings tightly clustered. Fresh jobs data, trade announcements, or any late polling shifts within the narrow window could separate the leading bins.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of mid-September 2026, with figures from aggregators such as RealClearPolitics and the New York Times hovering near 38-39 percent amid net ratings of roughly -17 to -20. Persistent voter dissatisfaction with inflation, the cost of living, and tariff policies has anchored these levels, as evidenced by the latest Financial Times survey showing a three-point drop to 33 percent. Republican support remains relatively steady above 70 percent, but broader erosion among independents and on economic handling keeps the distribution of possible September 18 readings tightly clustered. Fresh jobs data, trade announcements, or any late polling shifts within the narrow window could separate the leading bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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