**Drake’s dominant streaming momentum from the ICEMAN album trilogy and the Aug. 21 release of the new single “No Brakes” with The Game are the main drivers behind the 12–12.5M band leading at 59% implied probability.** ICEMAN continues to top Apple Music global and U.S. charts with record-breaking debut streams, sustaining high daily engagement across platforms, while the fresh collaboration adds a timely spike in video views during the final days of the week. YouTube Charts data and parallel Kalshi markets have shown Drake’s daily global views hovering in the low-to-mid 12M range throughout August, aligning with this outcome. Higher brackets (13.5M+) carry lower odds because no major video premiere or viral moment has materialized yet to push past recent peaks, and the week ends without additional catalysts on the immediate horizon. Traders are pricing in steady catalog plus new-release performance rather than an outlier day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDrake highest daily YouTube view count? (August 17 - 23)
12 - 12.5M 59%
13.5 - 14M 39%
12.5 - 13M 6%
14M+ 4.0%
<11M
1%
11 - 11.5M
1%
11.5 - 12M
-
12 - 12.5M
59%
12.5 - 13M
6%
13 - 13.5M
3%
13.5 - 14M
39%
14M+
4%
12 - 12.5M 59%
13.5 - 14M 39%
12.5 - 13M 6%
14M+ 4.0%
<11M
1%
11 - 11.5M
1%
11.5 - 12M
-
12 - 12.5M
59%
12.5 - 13M
6%
13 - 13.5M
3%
13.5 - 14M
39%
14M+
4%
The highest daily view count refers to the largest total views recorded on any single day within the specified week. View counts from multiple days will not be combined.
Only global view counts will be used. Regional and country-specific figures will not be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures attributed to the specified artist by the resolution source, regardless of which channel the views occurred on. If the resolution source attributes views to the specified artist for a video on which the specified artist is a featured or credited contributor, those views will count.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the available figures at either (i) the earliest point that all figures for the specified week are available, or (ii) the seventh day after the final day of the specified week, 11:59 PM ET, whichever is earlier. If no figures are available for the specified week by the seventh day after the final day of the specified week, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the daily global view counts published on YouTube Charts (https://charts.youtube.com/artist/%2Fm%2F05mt_q).
Market Opened: Aug 16, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The highest daily view count refers to the largest total views recorded on any single day within the specified week. View counts from multiple days will not be combined.
Only global view counts will be used. Regional and country-specific figures will not be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures attributed to the specified artist by the resolution source, regardless of which channel the views occurred on. If the resolution source attributes views to the specified artist for a video on which the specified artist is a featured or credited contributor, those views will count.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the available figures at either (i) the earliest point that all figures for the specified week are available, or (ii) the seventh day after the final day of the specified week, 11:59 PM ET, whichever is earlier. If no figures are available for the specified week by the seventh day after the final day of the specified week, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the daily global view counts published on YouTube Charts (https://charts.youtube.com/artist/%2Fm%2F05mt_q).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Drake’s dominant streaming momentum from the ICEMAN album trilogy and the Aug. 21 release of the new single “No Brakes” with The Game are the main drivers behind the 12–12.5M band leading at 59% implied probability.** ICEMAN continues to top Apple Music global and U.S. charts with record-breaking debut streams, sustaining high daily engagement across platforms, while the fresh collaboration adds a timely spike in video views during the final days of the week. YouTube Charts data and parallel Kalshi markets have shown Drake’s daily global views hovering in the low-to-mid 12M range throughout August, aligning with this outcome. Higher brackets (13.5M+) carry lower odds because no major video premiere or viral moment has materialized yet to push past recent peaks, and the week ends without additional catalysts on the immediate horizon. Traders are pricing in steady catalog plus new-release performance rather than an outlier day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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