Persistent supply constraints on NVIDIA Blackwell B200 GPUs continue to anchor trader sentiment around the $6.00–$6.50 range at end-October 2026, with the closely matched $6.50+ bucket reflecting uncertainty over near-term capacity additions. As of August 2026, on-demand rates across neocloud providers cluster between $5.99 and $7.79 per GPU-hour, supported by strong AI training and inference demand from hyperscalers that have pre-allocated most production through year-end. Differentiating factors include platform-specific availability, spot versus reserved contracts, HBM3e bandwidth utilization for large language models, and competition between specialized clouds and enterprise SLAs. Further TSMC production ramps or major provider announcements could shift the balance before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$6.00-$6.50 44%
$6.50+ 37%
<$4.50 9.0%
$4.50-$5.00 5%
$11,498 Vol.
$11,498 Vol.
<$4.50
10%
$4.50-$5.00
5%
$5.00-$5.50
6%
$5.50-$6.00
5%
$6.00-$6.50
44%
$6.50+
37%
$6.00-$6.50 44%
$6.50+ 37%
<$4.50 9.0%
$4.50-$5.00 5%
$11,498 Vol.
$11,498 Vol.
<$4.50
10%
$4.50-$5.00
5%
$5.00-$5.50
6%
$5.50-$6.00
5%
$6.00-$6.50
44%
$6.50+
37%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent supply constraints on NVIDIA Blackwell B200 GPUs continue to anchor trader sentiment around the $6.00–$6.50 range at end-October 2026, with the closely matched $6.50+ bucket reflecting uncertainty over near-term capacity additions. As of August 2026, on-demand rates across neocloud providers cluster between $5.99 and $7.79 per GPU-hour, supported by strong AI training and inference demand from hyperscalers that have pre-allocated most production through year-end. Differentiating factors include platform-specific availability, spot versus reserved contracts, HBM3e bandwidth utilization for large language models, and competition between specialized clouds and enterprise SLAs. Further TSMC production ramps or major provider announcements could shift the balance before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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