**Current on-demand H200 rental rates cluster between roughly $2.60 and $4.50 per GPU-hour on competitive neocloud and marketplace providers, with hyperscalers charging premiums above $10, reflecting tight but segmented supply amid sustained AI demand.** Recent limited shipments of about 20,000 units to Chinese buyers have not materially eased global availability, while HBM3e and CoWoS packaging constraints continue to limit new capacity. Traders appear focused on whether spot and reserved marketplace rates hold near current medians or shift with potential Blackwell (B200/B300) ramp-up and any incremental Western deployments by late September. The spread across $4–$5.50 bands captures uncertainty over short-term utilization spikes versus incremental supply additions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$4.50-$5.00 23%
$5.00-$5.50 19%
$4.00-$4.50 17%
$5.50-$6.00 15%
$22,449 Vol.
$22,449 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$4.00
12%
$4.00-$4.50
17%
$4.50-$5.00
23%
$5.00-$5.50
19%
$5.50-$6.00
15%
$6.00+
13%
$4.50-$5.00 23%
$5.00-$5.50 19%
$4.00-$4.50 17%
$5.50-$6.00 15%
$22,449 Vol.
$22,449 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$4.00
$9,576 Vol.
12%
$4.00-$4.50
$1,964 Vol.
17%
$4.50-$5.00
$3,775 Vol.
23%
$5.00-$5.50
$2,554 Vol.
19%
$5.50-$6.00
$2,013 Vol.
15%
$6.00+
$2,566 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.**Current on-demand H200 rental rates cluster between roughly $2.60 and $4.50 per GPU-hour on competitive neocloud and marketplace providers, with hyperscalers charging premiums above $10, reflecting tight but segmented supply amid sustained AI demand.** Recent limited shipments of about 20,000 units to Chinese buyers have not materially eased global availability, while HBM3e and CoWoS packaging constraints continue to limit new capacity. Traders appear focused on whether spot and reserved marketplace rates hold near current medians or shift with potential Blackwell (B200/B300) ramp-up and any incremental Western deployments by late September. The spread across $4–$5.50 bands captures uncertainty over short-term utilization spikes versus incremental supply additions.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:31 AM ET
Volume
$22,449End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.**Current on-demand H200 rental rates cluster between roughly $2.60 and $4.50 per GPU-hour on competitive neocloud and marketplace providers, with hyperscalers charging premiums above $10, reflecting tight but segmented supply amid sustained AI demand.** Recent limited shipments of about 20,000 units to Chinese buyers have not materially eased global availability, while HBM3e and CoWoS packaging constraints continue to limit new capacity. Traders appear focused on whether spot and reserved marketplace rates hold near current medians or shift with potential Blackwell (B200/B300) ramp-up and any incremental Western deployments by late September. The spread across $4–$5.50 bands captures uncertainty over short-term utilization spikes versus incremental supply additions.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$22,449End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current on-demand H200 rental rates cluster between roughly $2.60 and $4.50 per GPU-hour on competitive neocloud and marketplace providers, with hyperscalers charging premiums above $10, reflecting tight but segmented supply amid sustained AI demand.** Recent limited shipments of about 20,000 units to Chinese buyers have not materially eased global availability, while HBM3e and CoWoS packaging constraints continue to limit new capacity. Traders appear focused on whether spot and reserved marketplace rates hold near current medians or shift with potential Blackwell (B200/B300) ramp-up and any incremental Western deployments by late September. The spread across $4–$5.50 bands captures uncertainty over short-term utilization spikes versus incremental supply additions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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