Sustained demand for H200 GPUs from memory-intensive inference and fine-tuning workloads, particularly large language models requiring 141 GB HBM3e capacity and high bandwidth, continues to anchor trader sentiment around the $4–5 range by end-October. Current on-demand rates cluster between $2.60–$4.50 across neocloud and marketplace providers, with hyperscalers commanding premiums above $7–10, reflecting utilization pressure and limited incremental supply as production shifts toward Blackwell. Recent limited H200 shipments to Chinese firms like ByteDance and Tencent offer modest global relief but remain constrained by export rules and domestic competition. Key swing factors include neocloud capacity additions, any acceleration in China approvals, and utilization trends ahead of Nvidia’s earnings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$4.00-$4.50 26%
$4.50-$5.00 26%
$5.50+ 19.3%
$5.00-$5.50 11%
$12,660 Vol.
$12,660 Vol.
<$3.50
8%
$3.50-$4.00
8%
$4.00-$4.50
26%
$4.50-$5.00
26%
$5.00-$5.50
11%
$5.50+
19%
$4.00-$4.50 26%
$4.50-$5.00 26%
$5.50+ 19.3%
$5.00-$5.50 11%
$12,660 Vol.
$12,660 Vol.
<$3.50
8%
$3.50-$4.00
8%
$4.00-$4.50
26%
$4.50-$5.00
26%
$5.00-$5.50
11%
$5.50+
19%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sustained demand for H200 GPUs from memory-intensive inference and fine-tuning workloads, particularly large language models requiring 141 GB HBM3e capacity and high bandwidth, continues to anchor trader sentiment around the $4–5 range by end-October. Current on-demand rates cluster between $2.60–$4.50 across neocloud and marketplace providers, with hyperscalers commanding premiums above $7–10, reflecting utilization pressure and limited incremental supply as production shifts toward Blackwell. Recent limited H200 shipments to Chinese firms like ByteDance and Tencent offer modest global relief but remain constrained by export rules and domestic competition. Key swing factors include neocloud capacity additions, any acceleration in China approvals, and utilization trends ahead of Nvidia’s earnings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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