Recent supply expansions by neo-cloud providers and hyperscalers, combined with growing Blackwell B200 availability, have stabilized H100 spot and on-demand rates near $2.19–$3.38 per GPU-hour across marketplaces as of late August 2026. Heightened competition from platforms like Thunder Compute and Vast.ai, alongside reduced lead times and broader capacity coming online through September, creates downward pressure that offsets persistent enterprise demand for large language model training. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around the $2.25–$3.00 bands reflects uncertainty over how quickly additional clusters will absorb workloads versus any last-minute demand spikes before October. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical seasonal patterns in AI compute utilization.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.75-$3.00 25%
$3.00+ 23%
$2.50-$2.75 22%
$2.25-$2.50 21%
$12,315 Vol.
$12,315 Vol.
<$2.00
6%
$2.00-$2.25
9%
$2.25-$2.50
21%
$2.50-$2.75
22%
$2.75-$3.00
25%
$3.00+
23%
$2.75-$3.00 25%
$3.00+ 23%
$2.50-$2.75 22%
$2.25-$2.50 21%
$12,315 Vol.
$12,315 Vol.
<$2.00
6%
$2.00-$2.25
9%
$2.25-$2.50
21%
$2.50-$2.75
22%
$2.75-$3.00
25%
$3.00+
23%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent supply expansions by neo-cloud providers and hyperscalers, combined with growing Blackwell B200 availability, have stabilized H100 spot and on-demand rates near $2.19–$3.38 per GPU-hour across marketplaces as of late August 2026. Heightened competition from platforms like Thunder Compute and Vast.ai, alongside reduced lead times and broader capacity coming online through September, creates downward pressure that offsets persistent enterprise demand for large language model training. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around the $2.25–$3.00 bands reflects uncertainty over how quickly additional clusters will absorb workloads versus any last-minute demand spikes before October. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical seasonal patterns in AI compute utilization.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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