**Strong AI inference demand amid ongoing supply constraints has positioned $2.50–$3.00 per GPU-hour as the leading outcome for H100 rental prices at end-2026.** Current on-demand rates cluster around $2–$4 across neoclouds and marketplaces (with hyperscalers notably higher), following a sharp rebound of roughly 40% from late-2025 lows driven by multi-agent workloads, token consumption growth, and bottlenecks in HBM memory and TSMC CoWoS packaging. NVIDIA’s production shift toward Blackwell has tightened Hopper availability while positioning H100 as the established inference workhorse. Traders see limited downside from further displacement and only modest upside absent major new capacity relief expected late in the year. Key near-term catalysts include Blackwell deployment velocity and any acceleration in data-center power or memory supply.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.50-$3.00 35.5%
$3.00-$3.50 14.0%
$1.50-$2.00 13.1%
$3.50-$4.00 12.2%
$42,897 Vol.
$42,897 Vol.
<$1.50
8%
$1.50-$2.00
13%
$2.00-$2.50
12%
$2.50-$3.00
36%
$3.00-$3.50
14%
$3.50-$4.00
12%
$4.00+
4%
$2.50-$3.00 35.5%
$3.00-$3.50 14.0%
$1.50-$2.00 13.1%
$3.50-$4.00 12.2%
$42,897 Vol.
$42,897 Vol.
<$1.50
8%
$1.50-$2.00
13%
$2.00-$2.50
12%
$2.50-$3.00
36%
$3.00-$3.50
14%
$3.50-$4.00
12%
$4.00+
4%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong AI inference demand amid ongoing supply constraints has positioned $2.50–$3.00 per GPU-hour as the leading outcome for H100 rental prices at end-2026.** Current on-demand rates cluster around $2–$4 across neoclouds and marketplaces (with hyperscalers notably higher), following a sharp rebound of roughly 40% from late-2025 lows driven by multi-agent workloads, token consumption growth, and bottlenecks in HBM memory and TSMC CoWoS packaging. NVIDIA’s production shift toward Blackwell has tightened Hopper availability while positioning H100 as the established inference workhorse. Traders see limited downside from further displacement and only modest upside absent major new capacity relief expected late in the year. Key near-term catalysts include Blackwell deployment velocity and any acceleration in data-center power or memory supply.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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