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Tech·AI

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of September?

icon for GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of September?
Tech·AI

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of September?

Aug 31

Sep 30

Oct 31

Aug 31

Sep 30

Oct 31

$0.50-$0.55 36%

$0.45-$0.50 33%

$0.60+ 18%

$0.40-$0.45 7.4%

Polymarket

$11,959 Vol.

$0.50-$0.55 36%

$0.45-$0.50 33%

$0.60+ 18%

$0.40-$0.45 7.4%

Polymarket

$11,959 Vol.

<$0.40

$465 Vol.

5%

$0.40-$0.45

$318 Vol.

7%

$0.45-$0.50

$7,589 Vol.

33%

$0.50-$0.55

$2,830 Vol.

36%

$0.55-$0.60

$394 Vol.

7%

$0.60+

$363 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn RTX 5090 Index price for September 30, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the RTX 5090 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.**Trader sentiment on RTX 5090 rental prices at end-September 2026 remains closely split between the $0.45–$0.50 and $0.50–$0.55 bands because current on-demand and spot rates on major platforms sit near $0.35–$0.46 per hour amid high utilization.** Strong AI inference and fine-tuning demand continues to support occupancy near 80% on decentralized marketplaces like Vast.ai, where median rented rates hover around $0.35/hr with listings from $0.21–$0.45. However, the median on-demand price across providers has already declined roughly 48% over the prior year as additional 5090 units enter rental pools following the 2025 launch. Offsetting this, persistent GDDR7 memory constraints keep retail card prices elevated above $4,600, limiting rapid supply growth and creating upward pressure on rental floors. Key swing factors include utilization trends on platforms offering spot discounts versus premium on-demand tiers, potential shifts in AI workload intensity, and any incremental hardware availability before the September close.

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn RTX 5090 Index price for September 30, 2026.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the RTX 5090 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.

Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$11,959
End Date
Sep 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:39 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn RTX 5090 Index price for September 30, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the RTX 5090 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn RTX 5090 Index price for September 30, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the RTX 5090 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.**Trader sentiment on RTX 5090 rental prices at end-September 2026 remains closely split between the $0.45–$0.50 and $0.50–$0.55 bands because current on-demand and spot rates on major platforms sit near $0.35–$0.46 per hour amid high utilization.** Strong AI inference and fine-tuning demand continues to support occupancy near 80% on decentralized marketplaces like Vast.ai, where median rented rates hover around $0.35/hr with listings from $0.21–$0.45. However, the median on-demand price across providers has already declined roughly 48% over the prior year as additional 5090 units enter rental pools following the 2025 launch. Offsetting this, persistent GDDR7 memory constraints keep retail card prices elevated above $4,600, limiting rapid supply growth and creating upward pressure on rental floors. Key swing factors include utilization trends on platforms offering spot discounts versus premium on-demand tiers, potential shifts in AI workload intensity, and any incremental hardware availability before the September close.

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn RTX 5090 Index price for September 30, 2026.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the RTX 5090 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.

Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$11,959
End Date
Sep 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:39 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn RTX 5090 Index price for September 30, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the RTX 5090 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of September?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$0.50-$0.55" at 36%, followed by "$0.45-$0.50" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of September?" has generated $12K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of September?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of September?" is "$0.50-$0.55" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$0.45-$0.50" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of September?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.