Recent major outage on September 3, 2026—a 3.5-hour models outage tied to xAI’s Memphis data center—has heightened trader focus on Grok web reliability. The incident disrupted web, X, and app access, coincided with elevated errors at OpenAI and Anthropic, and prompted an xAI apology plus pledges of corrective infrastructure work. Official status pages now show full operational uptime with zero active incidents, though scattered user reports note latency or errors. Frequent shorter outages earlier in 2026 reflect scaling pressures on large language model inference amid rapid capability updates and compute demand. Key watchpoints include any new model releases or peak-usage spikes that could test the resolved systems.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
27%
October 31
49%
December 31
53%
$0.00 Vol.
September 30
$0 Vol.
27%
October 31
$0 Vol.
49%
December 31
$0 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Recent major outage on September 3, 2026—a 3.5-hour models outage tied to xAI’s Memphis data center—has heightened trader focus on Grok web reliability. The incident disrupted web, X, and app access, coincided with elevated errors at OpenAI and Anthropic, and prompted an xAI apology plus pledges of corrective infrastructure work. Official status pages now show full operational uptime with zero active incidents, though scattered user reports note latency or errors. Frequent shorter outages earlier in 2026 reflect scaling pressures on large language model inference amid rapid capability updates and compute demand. Key watchpoints include any new model releases or peak-usage spikes that could test the resolved systems.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 2:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Recent major outage on September 3, 2026—a 3.5-hour models outage tied to xAI’s Memphis data center—has heightened trader focus on Grok web reliability. The incident disrupted web, X, and app access, coincided with elevated errors at OpenAI and Anthropic, and prompted an xAI apology plus pledges of corrective infrastructure work. Official status pages now show full operational uptime with zero active incidents, though scattered user reports note latency or errors. Frequent shorter outages earlier in 2026 reflect scaling pressures on large language model inference amid rapid capability updates and compute demand. Key watchpoints include any new model releases or peak-usage spikes that could test the resolved systems.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$0End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 2:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent major outage on September 3, 2026—a 3.5-hour models outage tied to xAI’s Memphis data center—has heightened trader focus on Grok web reliability. The incident disrupted web, X, and app access, coincided with elevated errors at OpenAI and Anthropic, and prompted an xAI apology plus pledges of corrective infrastructure work. Official status pages now show full operational uptime with zero active incidents, though scattered user reports note latency or errors. Frequent shorter outages earlier in 2026 reflect scaling pressures on large language model inference amid rapid capability updates and compute demand. Key watchpoints include any new model releases or peak-usage spikes that could test the resolved systems.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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