IAEA access to Iran's Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz sites remains restricted following U.S. and Israeli strikes on the facilities in June 2025 and February 2026, which damaged enrichment plants and left significant stocks of highly enriched uranium buried under rubble. IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi stated in June 2026 that inspections would occur under an interim U.S.-Iran ceasefire understanding to verify and potentially dilute the material, with initial talks held on modalities. Iranian officials have countered that any visits to the attacked sites require a final agreement and sanctions relief, and as of mid-August 2026 Tehran explicitly ruled out such access in the near term. Ongoing bilateral negotiations, IAEA Board resolutions demanding accounting for nuclear material, and satellite monitoring of tunnel complexes at the three sites continue to shape prospects for resumed verification activities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
$362,276 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
August 31
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October 31
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December 31
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$362,276 Vol.
August 31
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October 31
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.IAEA access to Iran's Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz sites remains restricted following U.S. and Israeli strikes on the facilities in June 2025 and February 2026, which damaged enrichment plants and left significant stocks of highly enriched uranium buried under rubble. IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi stated in June 2026 that inspections would occur under an interim U.S.-Iran ceasefire understanding to verify and potentially dilute the material, with initial talks held on modalities. Iranian officials have countered that any visits to the attacked sites require a final agreement and sanctions relief, and as of mid-August 2026 Tehran explicitly ruled out such access in the near term. Ongoing bilateral negotiations, IAEA Board resolutions demanding accounting for nuclear material, and satellite monitoring of tunnel complexes at the three sites continue to shape prospects for resumed verification activities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ET
Volume
$362,276End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.IAEA access to Iran's Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz sites remains restricted following U.S. and Israeli strikes on the facilities in June 2025 and February 2026, which damaged enrichment plants and left significant stocks of highly enriched uranium buried under rubble. IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi stated in June 2026 that inspections would occur under an interim U.S.-Iran ceasefire understanding to verify and potentially dilute the material, with initial talks held on modalities. Iranian officials have countered that any visits to the attacked sites require a final agreement and sanctions relief, and as of mid-August 2026 Tehran explicitly ruled out such access in the near term. Ongoing bilateral negotiations, IAEA Board resolutions demanding accounting for nuclear material, and satellite monitoring of tunnel complexes at the three sites continue to shape prospects for resumed verification activities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$362,276End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...IAEA access to Iran's Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz sites remains restricted following U.S. and Israeli strikes on the facilities in June 2025 and February 2026, which damaged enrichment plants and left significant stocks of highly enriched uranium buried under rubble. IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi stated in June 2026 that inspections would occur under an interim U.S.-Iran ceasefire understanding to verify and potentially dilute the material, with initial talks held on modalities. Iranian officials have countered that any visits to the attacked sites require a final agreement and sanctions relief, and as of mid-August 2026 Tehran explicitly ruled out such access in the near term. Ongoing bilateral negotiations, IAEA Board resolutions demanding accounting for nuclear material, and satellite monitoring of tunnel complexes at the three sites continue to shape prospects for resumed verification activities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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