Skip to main content
icon for Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by...?
Politics·New York City

Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by...?

icon for Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by...?
Politics·New York City

Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by...?

NEW
Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket

$371 Vol.

Polymarket

September 30

$21 Vol.

41%

December 31

$350 Vol.

38%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jessica Tisch’s departure as New York City Police Commissioner is officially announced by the specified date at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise it will resolve to "No". The departure will be considered to be announced when Jessica Tisch, the New York City Police Department, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Jessica Tisch has ceased or will cease to hold the position of New York City Police Commissioner. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify. The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if specified conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify). Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify. If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the end of their scheduled term without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to "Yes" if a consensus of credible reporting confirms the departure by the specified date at 11:59PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jessica Tisch and the City of New York; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jessica Tisch remains New York City Police Commissioner under Mayor Zohran Mamdani as of August 2026.** Mamdani, who took office in January after winning election as a democratic socialist, retained the Eric Adams appointee in November 2025 to provide continuity amid falling crime rates, including record-low homicides and gun seizures. Tisch, who assumed the role in November 2024, has prioritized corruption investigations, counterterrorism, and hate-crime responses while resisting some administration priorities such as changes to the Strategic Response Group or gang database. Progressive advocates and left-leaning outlets have pressed for her removal to advance criminal justice reforms, generating ongoing speculation about her tenure. Mamdani has repeatedly expressed public confidence in her leadership and performance. Recent events, including her August 2026 remarks at a Manhattan synagogue following a hate-crime incident, underscore her active role. Trader sentiment centers on the balance between base-driven reform pressure and the mayor’s interest in stability, with any shift likely tied to upcoming policy milestones or performance metrics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jessica Tisch’s departure as New York City Police Commissioner is officially announced by the specified date at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise it will resolve to "No".

The departure will be considered to be announced when Jessica Tisch, the New York City Police Department, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Jessica Tisch has ceased or will cease to hold the position of New York City Police Commissioner. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.

The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if specified conditions are met; the announcement of an offer
of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives.

Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify).

Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.

If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify.

If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the end of their scheduled term without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to "Yes" if a consensus of credible reporting confirms the departure by the specified date at 11:59PM ET.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jessica Tisch and the City of New York; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$371
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 3:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jessica Tisch’s departure as New York City Police Commissioner is officially announced by the specified date at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise it will resolve to "No". The departure will be considered to be announced when Jessica Tisch, the New York City Police Department, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Jessica Tisch has ceased or will cease to hold the position of New York City Police Commissioner. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify. The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if specified conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify). Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify. If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the end of their scheduled term without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to "Yes" if a consensus of credible reporting confirms the departure by the specified date at 11:59PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jessica Tisch and the City of New York; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jessica Tisch’s departure as New York City Police Commissioner is officially announced by the specified date at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise it will resolve to "No". The departure will be considered to be announced when Jessica Tisch, the New York City Police Department, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Jessica Tisch has ceased or will cease to hold the position of New York City Police Commissioner. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify. The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if specified conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify). Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify. If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the end of their scheduled term without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to "Yes" if a consensus of credible reporting confirms the departure by the specified date at 11:59PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jessica Tisch and the City of New York; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jessica Tisch remains New York City Police Commissioner under Mayor Zohran Mamdani as of August 2026.** Mamdani, who took office in January after winning election as a democratic socialist, retained the Eric Adams appointee in November 2025 to provide continuity amid falling crime rates, including record-low homicides and gun seizures. Tisch, who assumed the role in November 2024, has prioritized corruption investigations, counterterrorism, and hate-crime responses while resisting some administration priorities such as changes to the Strategic Response Group or gang database. Progressive advocates and left-leaning outlets have pressed for her removal to advance criminal justice reforms, generating ongoing speculation about her tenure. Mamdani has repeatedly expressed public confidence in her leadership and performance. Recent events, including her August 2026 remarks at a Manhattan synagogue following a hate-crime incident, underscore her active role. Trader sentiment centers on the balance between base-driven reform pressure and the mayor’s interest in stability, with any shift likely tied to upcoming policy milestones or performance metrics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jessica Tisch’s departure as New York City Police Commissioner is officially announced by the specified date at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise it will resolve to "No".

The departure will be considered to be announced when Jessica Tisch, the New York City Police Department, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Jessica Tisch has ceased or will cease to hold the position of New York City Police Commissioner. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.

The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if specified conditions are met; the announcement of an offer
of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives.

Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify).

Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.

If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify.

If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the end of their scheduled term without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to "Yes" if a consensus of credible reporting confirms the departure by the specified date at 11:59PM ET.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jessica Tisch and the City of New York; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$371
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 3:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jessica Tisch’s departure as New York City Police Commissioner is officially announced by the specified date at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise it will resolve to "No". The departure will be considered to be announced when Jessica Tisch, the New York City Police Department, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Jessica Tisch has ceased or will cease to hold the position of New York City Police Commissioner. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify. The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if specified conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify). Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify. If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the end of their scheduled term without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to "Yes" if a consensus of credible reporting confirms the departure by the specified date at 11:59PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jessica Tisch and the City of New York; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for Max Miller out as US Rep by December 31, 2026?

Max Miller out as US Rep by December 31, 2026?

28%
icon for Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?

Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?

11%
icon for Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026?

Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026?

18%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "September 30" at 41%, followed by "December 31" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by...?" is "September 30" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "December 31" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.