Abba Kabir Yusuf’s recent defection from the NNPP to the APC, followed by his clearance and adoption as the party’s consensus 2027 governorship candidate, underpins trader consensus favoring his re-election bid at 59.5%. Prominent APC figures including Abdullahi Umar Ganduje and Barau Jibrin have publicly endorsed the incumbent, consolidating party structures ahead of primaries and general voting. On the opposition side, former deputy governor Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo, now the NDC nominee with Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso’s son as running mate, draws on the Kwankwasiyya movement’s grassroots network at 37%, sustaining competitiveness despite the incumbent’s advantages. The contest remains fluid due to ongoing Kano APC factional tensions and potential shifts in alliances before the March 2027 polls.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKano, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Kano, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Abba Kabir Yusuf 62%
Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo 34%
Muhammad Bello Dalhatu 4.4%
Mohammad Raji <1%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Abba Kabir Yusuf
62%
Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo
34%
Muhammad Bello Dalhatu
4%
Mohammad Raji
1%
Abba Kabir Yusuf 62%
Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo 34%
Muhammad Bello Dalhatu 4.4%
Mohammad Raji <1%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Abba Kabir Yusuf
$1,852 Vol.
62%
Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo
$1,517 Vol.
34%
Muhammad Bello Dalhatu
$204 Vol.
4%
Mohammad Raji
$336 Vol.
1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kano State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Abba Kabir Yusuf’s recent defection from the NNPP to the APC, followed by his clearance and adoption as the party’s consensus 2027 governorship candidate, underpins trader consensus favoring his re-election bid at 59.5%. Prominent APC figures including Abdullahi Umar Ganduje and Barau Jibrin have publicly endorsed the incumbent, consolidating party structures ahead of primaries and general voting. On the opposition side, former deputy governor Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo, now the NDC nominee with Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso’s son as running mate, draws on the Kwankwasiyya movement’s grassroots network at 37%, sustaining competitiveness despite the incumbent’s advantages. The contest remains fluid due to ongoing Kano APC factional tensions and potential shifts in alliances before the March 2027 polls.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kano State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 4:22 PM ET
Volume
$3,908End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kano State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Abba Kabir Yusuf’s recent defection from the NNPP to the APC, followed by his clearance and adoption as the party’s consensus 2027 governorship candidate, underpins trader consensus favoring his re-election bid at 59.5%. Prominent APC figures including Abdullahi Umar Ganduje and Barau Jibrin have publicly endorsed the incumbent, consolidating party structures ahead of primaries and general voting. On the opposition side, former deputy governor Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo, now the NDC nominee with Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso’s son as running mate, draws on the Kwankwasiyya movement’s grassroots network at 37%, sustaining competitiveness despite the incumbent’s advantages. The contest remains fluid due to ongoing Kano APC factional tensions and potential shifts in alliances before the March 2027 polls.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kano State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$3,908End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Abba Kabir Yusuf’s recent defection from the NNPP to the APC, followed by his clearance and adoption as the party’s consensus 2027 governorship candidate, underpins trader consensus favoring his re-election bid at 59.5%. Prominent APC figures including Abdullahi Umar Ganduje and Barau Jibrin have publicly endorsed the incumbent, consolidating party structures ahead of primaries and general voting. On the opposition side, former deputy governor Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo, now the NDC nominee with Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso’s son as running mate, draws on the Kwankwasiyya movement’s grassroots network at 37%, sustaining competitiveness despite the incumbent’s advantages. The contest remains fluid due to ongoing Kano APC factional tensions and potential shifts in alliances before the March 2027 polls.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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