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Politics·Main Election

Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

icon for Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Politics·Main Election

Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Yakubu Adamu 47%

Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar 36%

Usman Supi 8%

Ibrahim Muhammad Kashim 5.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Yakubu Adamu 47%

Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar 36%

Usman Supi 8%

Ibrahim Muhammad Kashim 5.1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Yakubu Adamu

Yakubu Adamu

$390 Vol.

40%

icon for Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar

Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar

$542 Vol.

51%

icon for Usman Supi

Usman Supi

$38 Vol.

8%

icon for Ibrahim Muhammad Kashim

Ibrahim Muhammad Kashim

$38 Vol.

5%

icon for Mohammed Aliyu

Mohammed Aliyu

$38 Vol.

5%

icon for Umar Shehu Buba

Umar Shehu Buba

$146 Vol.

4%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar's narrow lead in the Bauchi 2027 gubernatorial market reflects his recent APC primary victory, where he secured the ticket with strong delegate support over rivals including Yusuf Tuggar. Multiple parties have nominated candidates, including Yakubu Adamu of the APM backed by incumbent Bala Mohammed, Ibrahim Kashim of the NDC, and Shehu Buba Umar of the PRP, creating a fragmented field ahead of the general election. Recent APM dominance in local government polls has demonstrated organizational strength at the grassroots, while APC benefits from federal alignment, yet internal party disputes and untested general-election dynamics keep probabilities clustered near even. Upcoming developments such as further defections, legal challenges to nominations, or shifts in coalition alignments could widen separations among contenders.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$1,192
End Date
Feb 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar's narrow lead in the Bauchi 2027 gubernatorial market reflects his recent APC primary victory, where he secured the ticket with strong delegate support over rivals including Yusuf Tuggar. Multiple parties have nominated candidates, including Yakubu Adamu of the APM backed by incumbent Bala Mohammed, Ibrahim Kashim of the NDC, and Shehu Buba Umar of the PRP, creating a fragmented field ahead of the general election. Recent APM dominance in local government polls has demonstrated organizational strength at the grassroots, while APC benefits from federal alignment, yet internal party disputes and untested general-election dynamics keep probabilities clustered near even. Upcoming developments such as further defections, legal challenges to nominations, or shifts in coalition alignments could widen separations among contenders.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$1,192
End Date
Feb 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar" at 51%, followed by "Yakubu Adamu" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" is "Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Yakubu Adamu" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.