**Trader consensus strongly favors fewer than five Khamenei-related social media posts during August 25–September 1, 2026, with <5 at 76.5% and 5–9 at 21.0%.** This positioning stems from the low-volume posting pattern established after Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s death in a February 2026 strike and Mojtaba Khamenei’s subsequent selection as supreme leader. Mojtaba has issued no verified public appearances or frequent personal statements, relying instead on written messages read by state media and occasional undated video clips released by outlets such as Mehr News Agency. Official accounts (@khamenei_ir, @Khamenei_m, @MKhamenei_ir) have concentrated recent output on 40th-day and six-month martyrdom commemorations in mid-August, with activity remaining sporadic and event-driven rather than routine. President Masoud Pezeshkian’s August 10 confirmation of a seven-hour meeting and Mojtaba’s “full physical health” has not altered the cautious approach to visibility amid ongoing recovery and security considerations. No major scheduled diplomatic, legislative, or conflict-related developments fall inside the narrow resolution window that would typically trigger higher output. The market therefore prices in continuity of restrained communication typical of the post-transition period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?
<5 77%
5-9 21%
10-14 5%
20-24 2.6%
<5
77%
5-9
21%
10-14
5%
15-19
1%
20-24
3%
25-29
2%
30-34
3%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 77%
5-9 21%
10-14 5%
20-24 2.6%
<5
77%
5-9
21%
10-14
5%
15-19
1%
20-24
3%
25-29
2%
30-34
3%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors fewer than five Khamenei-related social media posts during August 25–September 1, 2026, with <5 at 76.5% and 5–9 at 21.0%.** This positioning stems from the low-volume posting pattern established after Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s death in a February 2026 strike and Mojtaba Khamenei’s subsequent selection as supreme leader. Mojtaba has issued no verified public appearances or frequent personal statements, relying instead on written messages read by state media and occasional undated video clips released by outlets such as Mehr News Agency. Official accounts (@khamenei_ir, @Khamenei_m, @MKhamenei_ir) have concentrated recent output on 40th-day and six-month martyrdom commemorations in mid-August, with activity remaining sporadic and event-driven rather than routine. President Masoud Pezeshkian’s August 10 confirmation of a seven-hour meeting and Mojtaba’s “full physical health” has not altered the cautious approach to visibility amid ongoing recovery and security considerations. No major scheduled diplomatic, legislative, or conflict-related developments fall inside the narrow resolution window that would typically trigger higher output. The market therefore prices in continuity of restrained communication typical of the post-transition period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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