Kim Jong Un remains firmly in control as Supreme Leader following his reappointment as Workers’ Party general secretary at the February 2026 party congress, with ongoing public appearances and no verified reports of incapacitating health issues or elite challenges in recent months. South Korean intelligence assessments note grooming of his daughter Kim Ju Ae as a potential successor through increased visibility at events, yet no formal institutional transfer has occurred, and the short window until year-end limits realistic pathways for removal. Trader consensus at 96% for “No” reflects the regime’s hereditary stability, tight control over information and security forces, and historical precedent of uninterrupted Kim family rule. Late-breaking developments such as a sudden medical crisis or unforeseen internal power shift could still alter outcomes before December 31, 2026, though such events lack supporting indicators at present.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
4% chance
$194,499 Vol.
$194,499 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
4% chance
$194,499 Vol.
$194,499 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kim Jong Un remains firmly in control as Supreme Leader following his reappointment as Workers’ Party general secretary at the February 2026 party congress, with ongoing public appearances and no verified reports of incapacitating health issues or elite challenges in recent months. South Korean intelligence assessments note grooming of his daughter Kim Ju Ae as a potential successor through increased visibility at events, yet no formal institutional transfer has occurred, and the short window until year-end limits realistic pathways for removal. Trader consensus at 96% for “No” reflects the regime’s hereditary stability, tight control over information and security forces, and historical precedent of uninterrupted Kim family rule. Late-breaking developments such as a sudden medical crisis or unforeseen internal power shift could still alter outcomes before December 31, 2026, though such events lack supporting indicators at present.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 1:38 PM ET
Volume
$194,499End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 1:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kim Jong Un remains firmly in control as Supreme Leader following his reappointment as Workers’ Party general secretary at the February 2026 party congress, with ongoing public appearances and no verified reports of incapacitating health issues or elite challenges in recent months. South Korean intelligence assessments note grooming of his daughter Kim Ju Ae as a potential successor through increased visibility at events, yet no formal institutional transfer has occurred, and the short window until year-end limits realistic pathways for removal. Trader consensus at 96% for “No” reflects the regime’s hereditary stability, tight control over information and security forces, and historical precedent of uninterrupted Kim family rule. Late-breaking developments such as a sudden medical crisis or unforeseen internal power shift could still alter outcomes before December 31, 2026, though such events lack supporting indicators at present.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$194,499End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 1:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kim Jong Un remains firmly in control as Supreme Leader following his reappointment as Workers’ Party general secretary at the February 2026 party congress, with ongoing public appearances and no verified reports of incapacitating health issues or elite challenges in recent months. South Korean intelligence assessments note grooming of his daughter Kim Ju Ae as a potential successor through increased visibility at events, yet no formal institutional transfer has occurred, and the short window until year-end limits realistic pathways for removal. Trader consensus at 96% for “No” reflects the regime’s hereditary stability, tight control over information and security forces, and historical precedent of uninterrupted Kim family rule. Late-breaking developments such as a sudden medical crisis or unforeseen internal power shift could still alter outcomes before December 31, 2026, though such events lack supporting indicators at present.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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