Salihu Yakubu Danladi, the APC nominee and current Speaker of the Kwara State House of Assembly, holds the strongest position in the 2027 gubernatorial race due to broad party endorsements, including from assembly members and local stakeholders across multiple local government areas, along with signals of continuity with the incumbent administration. The APC's organizational strength in the state has consolidated support behind him following the primary process. In contrast, the PDP standard-bearer Suleiman Bolakale Kawu and other listed aspirants face more fragmented backing, reflected in lower implied probabilities. Trader consensus on these outcomes aligns with the APC's recent internal cohesion and the absence of major disruptive developments in the months leading into the campaign.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSalihu Danladi 64%
Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu 21%
Zakari Mohammed 7%
Ajibade Adekunle 3.6%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Salihu Danladi
64%
Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu
21%
Zakari Mohammed
7%
Ajibade Adekunle
4%
Salihu Danladi 64%
Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu 21%
Zakari Mohammed 7%
Ajibade Adekunle 3.6%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Salihu Danladi
$4,264 Vol.
64%
Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu
$929 Vol.
21%
Zakari Mohammed
$274 Vol.
7%
Ajibade Adekunle
$146 Vol.
4%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kwara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Salihu Yakubu Danladi, the APC nominee and current Speaker of the Kwara State House of Assembly, holds the strongest position in the 2027 gubernatorial race due to broad party endorsements, including from assembly members and local stakeholders across multiple local government areas, along with signals of continuity with the incumbent administration. The APC's organizational strength in the state has consolidated support behind him following the primary process. In contrast, the PDP standard-bearer Suleiman Bolakale Kawu and other listed aspirants face more fragmented backing, reflected in lower implied probabilities. Trader consensus on these outcomes aligns with the APC's recent internal cohesion and the absence of major disruptive developments in the months leading into the campaign.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kwara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Volume
$5,613End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kwara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Salihu Yakubu Danladi, the APC nominee and current Speaker of the Kwara State House of Assembly, holds the strongest position in the 2027 gubernatorial race due to broad party endorsements, including from assembly members and local stakeholders across multiple local government areas, along with signals of continuity with the incumbent administration. The APC's organizational strength in the state has consolidated support behind him following the primary process. In contrast, the PDP standard-bearer Suleiman Bolakale Kawu and other listed aspirants face more fragmented backing, reflected in lower implied probabilities. Trader consensus on these outcomes aligns with the APC's recent internal cohesion and the absence of major disruptive developments in the months leading into the campaign.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kwara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$5,613End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Salihu Yakubu Danladi, the APC nominee and current Speaker of the Kwara State House of Assembly, holds the strongest position in the 2027 gubernatorial race due to broad party endorsements, including from assembly members and local stakeholders across multiple local government areas, along with signals of continuity with the incumbent administration. The APC's organizational strength in the state has consolidated support behind him following the primary process. In contrast, the PDP standard-bearer Suleiman Bolakale Kawu and other listed aspirants face more fragmented backing, reflected in lower implied probabilities. Trader consensus on these outcomes aligns with the APC's recent internal cohesion and the absence of major disruptive developments in the months leading into the campaign.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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