Quarterbacks from major conference contenders dominate early 2026 Heisman Trophy odds, with Notre Dame's CJ Carr and Texas's Arch Manning clustered near the top as co-leaders in trader consensus. Carr built momentum from a productive first season as starter, while Manning benefits from an upgraded supporting cast and program expectations. A deep group of other signal-callers—including Oregon's Dante Moore, Miami's Darian Mensah, Ohio State's Julian Sayin, and several additional options in the 3-7% range—keeps the field tightly bunched alongside Ohio State wideout Jeremiah Smith. This competitive dynamic stems from a loaded quarterback class on teams projected for College Football Playoff contention, where early-season results, team success, and individual stat lines will drive further shifts in implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner
CJ Carr 9%
Arch Manning 9%
Dante Moore 8%
Darian Mensah 7%
CJ Carr
9%
Arch Manning
9%
Dante Moore
8%
Darian Mensah
7%
Julian Sayin
7%
Trinidad Chambliss
7%
Jeremiah Smith
5%
Josh Hoover
4%
Marcel Reed
3%
Gunner Stockton
3%
Sam Leavitt
3%
Brendan Sorsby
3%
John Mateer
3%
Jayden Maiava
3%
Keelon Russell
3%
Malachi Toney
3%
Demond Williams Jr.
3%
LaNorris Sellers
3%
Rocco Becht
3%
Will Hammond
3%
Austin Mack
3%
Byrum Brown
3%
Bryce Underwood
3%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
3%
Drew Mestemaker
1%
Kevin Jennings
1%
Ahmad Hardy
1%
Bo Jackson
1%
Kewan Lacy
1%
CJ Carr 9%
Arch Manning 9%
Dante Moore 8%
Darian Mensah 7%
CJ Carr
9%
Arch Manning
9%
Dante Moore
8%
Darian Mensah
7%
Julian Sayin
7%
Trinidad Chambliss
7%
Jeremiah Smith
5%
Josh Hoover
4%
Marcel Reed
3%
Gunner Stockton
3%
Sam Leavitt
3%
Brendan Sorsby
3%
John Mateer
3%
Jayden Maiava
3%
Keelon Russell
3%
Malachi Toney
3%
Demond Williams Jr.
3%
LaNorris Sellers
3%
Rocco Becht
3%
Will Hammond
3%
Austin Mack
3%
Byrum Brown
3%
Bryce Underwood
3%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
3%
Drew Mestemaker
1%
Kevin Jennings
1%
Ahmad Hardy
1%
Bo Jackson
1%
Kewan Lacy
1%
If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Quarterbacks from major conference contenders dominate early 2026 Heisman Trophy odds, with Notre Dame's CJ Carr and Texas's Arch Manning clustered near the top as co-leaders in trader consensus. Carr built momentum from a productive first season as starter, while Manning benefits from an upgraded supporting cast and program expectations. A deep group of other signal-callers—including Oregon's Dante Moore, Miami's Darian Mensah, Ohio State's Julian Sayin, and several additional options in the 3-7% range—keeps the field tightly bunched alongside Ohio State wideout Jeremiah Smith. This competitive dynamic stems from a loaded quarterback class on teams projected for College Football Playoff contention, where early-season results, team success, and individual stat lines will drive further shifts in implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions