Rebeca Grynspan leads trader consensus in the race to succeed António Guterres as UN Secretary-General, whose term ends December 31, 2026, with the successor expected to take office January 1, 2027. The July 30 Security Council straw poll provided the clearest recent signal, granting her 10 encourage votes and just one discourage among the 15 members, well ahead of Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett and Rafael Grossi. This early backing from a process that emphasizes broad support and avoids vetoes from permanent members has reinforced her position as the candidate with the strongest initial momentum. Other contenders, including those from Latin America and Africa, trail due to narrower encouragement in the same poll and less evident cross-regional alignment. Further confidential rounds will test whether this pattern holds or shifts before a formal recommendation reaches the General Assembly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNext Secretary-General of the United Nations
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
Rebeca Grynspan 38%
Rafael Grossi 16%
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett 12.7%
Macky Sall 4.0%
$178,826 Vol.
$178,826 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Rebeca Grynspan
38%
Rafael Grossi
16%
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett
13%
Macky Sall
4%
Michelle Bachelet
3%
María Fernanda Espinosa
2%
Olara Otunnu
1%
Ivonne de Baki
1%
Rebeca Grynspan 38%
Rafael Grossi 16%
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett 12.7%
Macky Sall 4.0%
$178,826 Vol.
$178,826 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Rebeca Grynspan
$14,545 Vol.
38%
Rafael Grossi
$25,406 Vol.
16%
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett
$2,098 Vol.
13%
Macky Sall
$119,993 Vol.
4%
Michelle Bachelet
$11,410 Vol.
3%
María Fernanda Espinosa
$1,984 Vol.
2%
Olara Otunnu
$2,308 Vol.
1%
Ivonne de Baki
$1,081 Vol.
1%
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rebeca Grynspan leads trader consensus in the race to succeed António Guterres as UN Secretary-General, whose term ends December 31, 2026, with the successor expected to take office January 1, 2027. The July 30 Security Council straw poll provided the clearest recent signal, granting her 10 encourage votes and just one discourage among the 15 members, well ahead of Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett and Rafael Grossi. This early backing from a process that emphasizes broad support and avoids vetoes from permanent members has reinforced her position as the candidate with the strongest initial momentum. Other contenders, including those from Latin America and Africa, trail due to narrower encouragement in the same poll and less evident cross-regional alignment. Further confidential rounds will test whether this pattern holds or shifts before a formal recommendation reaches the General Assembly.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
Volume
$178,826End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rebeca Grynspan leads trader consensus in the race to succeed António Guterres as UN Secretary-General, whose term ends December 31, 2026, with the successor expected to take office January 1, 2027. The July 30 Security Council straw poll provided the clearest recent signal, granting her 10 encourage votes and just one discourage among the 15 members, well ahead of Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett and Rafael Grossi. This early backing from a process that emphasizes broad support and avoids vetoes from permanent members has reinforced her position as the candidate with the strongest initial momentum. Other contenders, including those from Latin America and Africa, trail due to narrower encouragement in the same poll and less evident cross-regional alignment. Further confidential rounds will test whether this pattern holds or shifts before a formal recommendation reaches the General Assembly.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$178,826End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Rebeca Grynspan leads trader consensus in the race to succeed António Guterres as UN Secretary-General, whose term ends December 31, 2026, with the successor expected to take office January 1, 2027. The July 30 Security Council straw poll provided the clearest recent signal, granting her 10 encourage votes and just one discourage among the 15 members, well ahead of Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett and Rafael Grossi. This early backing from a process that emphasizes broad support and avoids vetoes from permanent members has reinforced her position as the candidate with the strongest initial momentum. Other contenders, including those from Latin America and Africa, trail due to narrower encouragement in the same poll and less evident cross-regional alignment. Further confidential rounds will test whether this pattern holds or shifts before a formal recommendation reaches the General Assembly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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