MrBeast's recent video has followed a predictable early trajectory of strong initial views tapering into steady daily gains, driving the 62-63 million bracket to a dominant 73.5% implied probability. Traders cite the creator's massive subscriber base, proven algorithmic favor, and consistent first-week patterns as primary drivers, with current pacing pointing squarely to that narrow band by day 5. The modest 26.5% chance assigned to 63-64 million captures any upside from sustained promotion or viral spikes, while sub-1% odds on outliers reflect limited scope for dramatic acceleration or drop-off. Next daily view reports and social metrics remain the key catalysts that could nudge these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# of views of MrBeast video day 5?
62-63M 74%
63-64M 26%
65M+ 1.0%
64-65M <1%
<61M
<1%
61-62M
<1%
62-63M
74%
63-64M
26%
64-65M
1%
65M+
1%
62-63M 74%
63-64M 26%
65M+ 1.0%
64-65M <1%
<61M
<1%
61-62M
<1%
62-63M
74%
63-64M
26%
64-65M
1%
65M+
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4gResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4gResolver
0x69c47De9D...MrBeast's recent video has followed a predictable early trajectory of strong initial views tapering into steady daily gains, driving the 62-63 million bracket to a dominant 73.5% implied probability. Traders cite the creator's massive subscriber base, proven algorithmic favor, and consistent first-week patterns as primary drivers, with current pacing pointing squarely to that narrow band by day 5. The modest 26.5% chance assigned to 63-64 million captures any upside from sustained promotion or viral spikes, while sub-1% odds on outliers reflect limited scope for dramatic acceleration or drop-off. Next daily view reports and social metrics remain the key catalysts that could nudge these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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