**Strong audience retention and franchise momentum have kept "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" atop the domestic box office through its fifth weekend, with the 6th frame (Labor Day weekend) now tracking toward the $13–15 million range.** The film opened to a record $360 million in late July, posted solid 42–51% drops in subsequent frames, and has amassed roughly $892–896 million domestically after Aug. 28–30’s $22.5 million haul while maintaining the top spot. Positive critical consensus (around 90% on Rotten Tomatoes), an “A” CinemaScore, and Tom Holland/Zendaya’s star power have driven better-than-average legs (approximately 2.5x), though theater counts have fallen and typical late-summer erosion continues. Traders see the closely bunched 13–15 million+ outcomes as the most likely outcome given the film’s proven holdover power versus new competition, while lower brackets reflect the risk of steeper drops once holiday counter-programming intensifies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office
13-14m 43%
14-15m 43%
15m+ 43%
11-12m 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
<11m
26%
11-12m
27%
12-13m
25%
13-14m
43%
14-15m
43%
15m+
43%
13-14m 43%
14-15m 43%
15m+ 43%
11-12m 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
<11m
$0 Vol.
26%
11-12m
$0 Vol.
27%
12-13m
$0 Vol.
25%
13-14m
$0 Vol.
43%
14-15m
$0 Vol.
43%
15m+
$0 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong audience retention and franchise momentum have kept "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" atop the domestic box office through its fifth weekend, with the 6th frame (Labor Day weekend) now tracking toward the $13–15 million range.**
The film opened to a record $360 million in late July, posted solid 42–51% drops in subsequent frames, and has amassed roughly $892–896 million domestically after Aug. 28–30’s $22.5 million haul while maintaining the top spot. Positive critical consensus (around 90% on Rotten Tomatoes), an “A” CinemaScore, and Tom Holland/Zendaya’s star power have driven better-than-average legs (approximately 2.5x), though theater counts have fallen and typical late-summer erosion continues. Traders see the closely bunched 13–15 million+ outcomes as the most likely outcome given the film’s proven holdover power versus new competition, while lower brackets reflect the risk of steeper drops once holiday counter-programming intensifies.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 6:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong audience retention and franchise momentum have kept "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" atop the domestic box office through its fifth weekend, with the 6th frame (Labor Day weekend) now tracking toward the $13–15 million range.**
The film opened to a record $360 million in late July, posted solid 42–51% drops in subsequent frames, and has amassed roughly $892–896 million domestically after Aug. 28–30’s $22.5 million haul while maintaining the top spot. Positive critical consensus (around 90% on Rotten Tomatoes), an “A” CinemaScore, and Tom Holland/Zendaya’s star power have driven better-than-average legs (approximately 2.5x), though theater counts have fallen and typical late-summer erosion continues. Traders see the closely bunched 13–15 million+ outcomes as the most likely outcome given the film’s proven holdover power versus new competition, while lower brackets reflect the risk of steeper drops once holiday counter-programming intensifies.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 6:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong audience retention and franchise momentum have kept "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" atop the domestic box office through its fifth weekend, with the 6th frame (Labor Day weekend) now tracking toward the $13–15 million range.** The film opened to a record $360 million in late July, posted solid 42–51% drops in subsequent frames, and has amassed roughly $892–896 million domestically after Aug. 28–30’s $22.5 million haul while maintaining the top spot. Positive critical consensus (around 90% on Rotten Tomatoes), an “A” CinemaScore, and Tom Holland/Zendaya’s star power have driven better-than-average legs (approximately 2.5x), though theater counts have fallen and typical late-summer erosion continues. Traders see the closely bunched 13–15 million+ outcomes as the most likely outcome given the film’s proven holdover power versus new competition, while lower brackets reflect the risk of steeper drops once holiday counter-programming intensifies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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