Incumbent Agbu Kefas leads trader consensus at 64% in the February 6, 2027, Taraba gubernatorial race after defecting from the PDP to the APC in January 2026 and securing the party’s consensus nomination in late August following a stakeholders’ meeting in Jalingo. This alignment with the federal ruling party, combined with recent campaign council appointments, youth and community endorsements, and praise from religious groups for peace initiatives and infrastructure delivery, has strengthened expectations of incumbency and party machinery advantages. Emmanuel Bwacha trails at 27.5% as the main opposition figure amid reported PDP internal tensions, while lower-probability candidates such as Aboki Stephen Bayonga and Shiddi Usman Danjuma reflect limited visible momentum ahead of primaries and formal campaigning. The outcome remains subject to standard variables including turnout, alliances, and any late legal or internal party developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAgbu Kefas 64%
Emmanuel Bwacha 28%
Aboki Stephen Bayonga 5%
Shiddi Usman Danjuma 1.1%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Agbu Kefas
64%
Emmanuel Bwacha
28%
Aboki Stephen Bayonga
5%
Shiddi Usman Danjuma
1%
Agbu Kefas 64%
Emmanuel Bwacha 28%
Aboki Stephen Bayonga 5%
Shiddi Usman Danjuma 1.1%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Agbu Kefas
$1,110 Vol.
64%
Emmanuel Bwacha
$1,294 Vol.
28%
Aboki Stephen Bayonga
$82 Vol.
5%
Shiddi Usman Danjuma
$40 Vol.
1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Taraba State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Incumbent Agbu Kefas leads trader consensus at 64% in the February 6, 2027, Taraba gubernatorial race after defecting from the PDP to the APC in January 2026 and securing the party’s consensus nomination in late August following a stakeholders’ meeting in Jalingo. This alignment with the federal ruling party, combined with recent campaign council appointments, youth and community endorsements, and praise from religious groups for peace initiatives and infrastructure delivery, has strengthened expectations of incumbency and party machinery advantages. Emmanuel Bwacha trails at 27.5% as the main opposition figure amid reported PDP internal tensions, while lower-probability candidates such as Aboki Stephen Bayonga and Shiddi Usman Danjuma reflect limited visible momentum ahead of primaries and formal campaigning. The outcome remains subject to standard variables including turnout, alliances, and any late legal or internal party developments.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Taraba State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ET
Volume
$2,526End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Taraba State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Incumbent Agbu Kefas leads trader consensus at 64% in the February 6, 2027, Taraba gubernatorial race after defecting from the PDP to the APC in January 2026 and securing the party’s consensus nomination in late August following a stakeholders’ meeting in Jalingo. This alignment with the federal ruling party, combined with recent campaign council appointments, youth and community endorsements, and praise from religious groups for peace initiatives and infrastructure delivery, has strengthened expectations of incumbency and party machinery advantages. Emmanuel Bwacha trails at 27.5% as the main opposition figure amid reported PDP internal tensions, while lower-probability candidates such as Aboki Stephen Bayonga and Shiddi Usman Danjuma reflect limited visible momentum ahead of primaries and formal campaigning. The outcome remains subject to standard variables including turnout, alliances, and any late legal or internal party developments.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Taraba State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$2,526End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Agbu Kefas leads trader consensus at 64% in the February 6, 2027, Taraba gubernatorial race after defecting from the PDP to the APC in January 2026 and securing the party’s consensus nomination in late August following a stakeholders’ meeting in Jalingo. This alignment with the federal ruling party, combined with recent campaign council appointments, youth and community endorsements, and praise from religious groups for peace initiatives and infrastructure delivery, has strengthened expectations of incumbency and party machinery advantages. Emmanuel Bwacha trails at 27.5% as the main opposition figure amid reported PDP internal tensions, while lower-probability candidates such as Aboki Stephen Bayonga and Shiddi Usman Danjuma reflect limited visible momentum ahead of primaries and formal campaigning. The outcome remains subject to standard variables including turnout, alliances, and any late legal or internal party developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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