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icon for Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

icon for Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

$615,562 Vol.

Mar 30, 2026
Polymarket

$615,562 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31

$123,359 Vol.

17%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Maduro's capture by U.S. forces in January 2026 and the subsequent interim presidency of Delcy Rodríguez under the Supreme Tribunal of Justice, Venezuela faces an unsettled transition with no confirmed presidential election date. The 1999 constitution requires elections within 30 days of a permanent vacancy, yet the interim administration has prioritized stability and avoided timelines, prompting opposition figures including María Corina Machado to call for polls within seven to ten months under monitored conditions. U.S. diplomatic pressure, including Senator Tim Kaine's Venezuela Democratic Transition Act targeting 2026 elections and recognition of Edmundo González Urrutia, contrasts with the government's focus on institutional reforms and prisoner releases. Parliamentary elections occurred in 2025 amid boycott debates, while recent opposition marches and coalition negotiations highlight demands for internationally observed voting that could shift the schedule if pacts emerge before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030.

This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$615,562
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Maduro's capture by U.S. forces in January 2026 and the subsequent interim presidency of Delcy Rodríguez under the Supreme Tribunal of Justice, Venezuela faces an unsettled transition with no confirmed presidential election date. The 1999 constitution requires elections within 30 days of a permanent vacancy, yet the interim administration has prioritized stability and avoided timelines, prompting opposition figures including María Corina Machado to call for polls within seven to ten months under monitored conditions. U.S. diplomatic pressure, including Senator Tim Kaine's Venezuela Democratic Transition Act targeting 2026 elections and recognition of Edmundo González Urrutia, contrasts with the government's focus on institutional reforms and prisoner releases. Parliamentary elections occurred in 2025 amid boycott debates, while recent opposition marches and coalition negotiations highlight demands for internationally observed voting that could shift the schedule if pacts emerge before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030.

This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$615,562
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 17%, followed by "January 31" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?" has generated $615.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?" is "December 31" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "January 31" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.