PAN leads trader consensus for second place in Mexico's June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election due to consistent positioning as the primary opposition force in recent national polling, where it trails Morena but outpaces PRI, MC, and smaller parties by wide margins. The party's decision to contest the midterms independently after ending its alliance with the PRI has consolidated its voter base among conservative and northern strongholds, while opposition fragmentation and the emergence of new parties like PAZ and Somos MX further dilute competing claims. Morena's coalition maintains a commanding lead overall but faces modest internal strains over legislative priorities. Recent polls through mid-2026 show PAN holding steady in the 12-20% range nationally, supporting its favored status for the runner-up slot absent major shifts in turnout or coalition dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
PAN 75%
PRI 10.8%
PVEM 7%
MC 3.3%
$72,659 Vol.
$72,659 Vol.
Jun 5, 2027
PAN
75%
PRI
11%
PT
1%
PVEM
7%
MC
3%
Morena
1%
PAN 75%
PRI 10.8%
PVEM 7%
MC 3.3%
$72,659 Vol.
$72,659 Vol.
Jun 5, 2027
PAN
$33,230 Vol.
75%
PRI
$11,270 Vol.
11%
PT
$7,969 Vol.
1%
PVEM
$11,352 Vol.
7%
MC
$4,074 Vol.
3%
Morena
$4,764 Vol.
1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).PAN leads trader consensus for second place in Mexico's June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election due to consistent positioning as the primary opposition force in recent national polling, where it trails Morena but outpaces PRI, MC, and smaller parties by wide margins. The party's decision to contest the midterms independently after ending its alliance with the PRI has consolidated its voter base among conservative and northern strongholds, while opposition fragmentation and the emergence of new parties like PAZ and Somos MX further dilute competing claims. Morena's coalition maintains a commanding lead overall but faces modest internal strains over legislative priorities. Recent polls through mid-2026 show PAN holding steady in the 12-20% range nationally, supporting its favored status for the runner-up slot absent major shifts in turnout or coalition dynamics.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Volume
$72,659End Date
Jun 6, 2027Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).PAN leads trader consensus for second place in Mexico's June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election due to consistent positioning as the primary opposition force in recent national polling, where it trails Morena but outpaces PRI, MC, and smaller parties by wide margins. The party's decision to contest the midterms independently after ending its alliance with the PRI has consolidated its voter base among conservative and northern strongholds, while opposition fragmentation and the emergence of new parties like PAZ and Somos MX further dilute competing claims. Morena's coalition maintains a commanding lead overall but faces modest internal strains over legislative priorities. Recent polls through mid-2026 show PAN holding steady in the 12-20% range nationally, supporting its favored status for the runner-up slot absent major shifts in turnout or coalition dynamics.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Volume
$72,659End Date
Jun 6, 2027Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAN leads trader consensus for second place in Mexico's June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election due to consistent positioning as the primary opposition force in recent national polling, where it trails Morena but outpaces PRI, MC, and smaller parties by wide margins. The party's decision to contest the midterms independently after ending its alliance with the PRI has consolidated its voter base among conservative and northern strongholds, while opposition fragmentation and the emergence of new parties like PAZ and Somos MX further dilute competing claims. Morena's coalition maintains a commanding lead overall but faces modest internal strains over legislative priorities. Recent polls through mid-2026 show PAN holding steady in the 12-20% range nationally, supporting its favored status for the runner-up slot absent major shifts in turnout or coalition dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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