**Vänsterpartiet holds a narrow edge in trader consensus for outpolling Centerpartiet in the September 13, 2026, Swedish parliamentary election, reflecting their closely matched recent polling averages around 7.4–7.7% for V and 7.3–8.0% for C.** The contest remains tight because Centerpartiet has posted the strongest gains among smaller parties over the past three months, buoyed by campaign focus on household finances and its explicit push for a centrist coalition involving Social Democrats and Christian Democrats that deliberately excludes Vänsterpartiet. Both parties sit well below the dominant Social Democrats and Sweden Democrats, so relative performance hinges on turnout, late shifts among liberal-leaning or rural voters, and any final-week momentum from debates over economic policy and government formation. Recent surveys show C narrowing or occasionally leading the head-to-head, keeping the implied probability sensitive to the last published results before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedV
52% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
V
52% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).**Vänsterpartiet holds a narrow edge in trader consensus for outpolling Centerpartiet in the September 13, 2026, Swedish parliamentary election, reflecting their closely matched recent polling averages around 7.4–7.7% for V and 7.3–8.0% for C.**
The contest remains tight because Centerpartiet has posted the strongest gains among smaller parties over the past three months, buoyed by campaign focus on household finances and its explicit push for a centrist coalition involving Social Democrats and Christian Democrats that deliberately excludes Vänsterpartiet. Both parties sit well below the dominant Social Democrats and Sweden Democrats, so relative performance hinges on turnout, late shifts among liberal-leaning or rural voters, and any final-week momentum from debates over economic policy and government formation. Recent surveys show C narrowing or occasionally leading the head-to-head, keeping the implied probability sensitive to the last published results before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 5:32 AM ET
Volume
$3,249End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:32 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).**Vänsterpartiet holds a narrow edge in trader consensus for outpolling Centerpartiet in the September 13, 2026, Swedish parliamentary election, reflecting their closely matched recent polling averages around 7.4–7.7% for V and 7.3–8.0% for C.**
The contest remains tight because Centerpartiet has posted the strongest gains among smaller parties over the past three months, buoyed by campaign focus on household finances and its explicit push for a centrist coalition involving Social Democrats and Christian Democrats that deliberately excludes Vänsterpartiet. Both parties sit well below the dominant Social Democrats and Sweden Democrats, so relative performance hinges on turnout, late shifts among liberal-leaning or rural voters, and any final-week momentum from debates over economic policy and government formation. Recent surveys show C narrowing or occasionally leading the head-to-head, keeping the implied probability sensitive to the last published results before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$3,249End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:32 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Vänsterpartiet holds a narrow edge in trader consensus for outpolling Centerpartiet in the September 13, 2026, Swedish parliamentary election, reflecting their closely matched recent polling averages around 7.4–7.7% for V and 7.3–8.0% for C.** The contest remains tight because Centerpartiet has posted the strongest gains among smaller parties over the past three months, buoyed by campaign focus on household finances and its explicit push for a centrist coalition involving Social Democrats and Christian Democrats that deliberately excludes Vänsterpartiet. Both parties sit well below the dominant Social Democrats and Sweden Democrats, so relative performance hinges on turnout, late shifts among liberal-leaning or rural voters, and any final-week momentum from debates over economic policy and government formation. Recent surveys show C narrowing or occasionally leading the head-to-head, keeping the implied probability sensitive to the last published results before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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