**Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election show Vänsterpartiet (V) holding a modest but consistent edge over Kristdemokraterna (KD) in projected vote share.** Aggregators and individual surveys from August place V in the 7–8% range while KD sits around 5–7%, producing an implied probability that V will finish ahead on election night. This positioning aligns with broader trends in which the centre-left opposition maintains an overall lead, though the right-wing governing bloc (Moderates, KD, Liberals, supported by the Sweden Democrats) has narrowed the gap slightly in some late readings. V’s support has remained relatively stable or edged higher in recent months, while KD has faced pressure as a junior coalition partner amid voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent government’s performance. Historical patterns in Swedish multi-party elections show smaller parties’ final rankings often track late polling averages closely, with limited volatility in the final weeks absent major events. Traders appear to weigh these polling dynamics and the short remaining timeline when pricing the outcome at roughly 74% for V receiving more votes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedV
74% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
V
74% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).**Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election show Vänsterpartiet (V) holding a modest but consistent edge over Kristdemokraterna (KD) in projected vote share.** Aggregators and individual surveys from August place V in the 7–8% range while KD sits around 5–7%, producing an implied probability that V will finish ahead on election night. This positioning aligns with broader trends in which the centre-left opposition maintains an overall lead, though the right-wing governing bloc (Moderates, KD, Liberals, supported by the Sweden Democrats) has narrowed the gap slightly in some late readings.
V’s support has remained relatively stable or edged higher in recent months, while KD has faced pressure as a junior coalition partner amid voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent government’s performance. Historical patterns in Swedish multi-party elections show smaller parties’ final rankings often track late polling averages closely, with limited volatility in the final weeks absent major events. Traders appear to weigh these polling dynamics and the short remaining timeline when pricing the outcome at roughly 74% for V receiving more votes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 5:32 AM ET
Volume
$2,484End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:32 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).**Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election show Vänsterpartiet (V) holding a modest but consistent edge over Kristdemokraterna (KD) in projected vote share.** Aggregators and individual surveys from August place V in the 7–8% range while KD sits around 5–7%, producing an implied probability that V will finish ahead on election night. This positioning aligns with broader trends in which the centre-left opposition maintains an overall lead, though the right-wing governing bloc (Moderates, KD, Liberals, supported by the Sweden Democrats) has narrowed the gap slightly in some late readings.
V’s support has remained relatively stable or edged higher in recent months, while KD has faced pressure as a junior coalition partner amid voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent government’s performance. Historical patterns in Swedish multi-party elections show smaller parties’ final rankings often track late polling averages closely, with limited volatility in the final weeks absent major events. Traders appear to weigh these polling dynamics and the short remaining timeline when pricing the outcome at roughly 74% for V receiving more votes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$2,484End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:32 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election show Vänsterpartiet (V) holding a modest but consistent edge over Kristdemokraterna (KD) in projected vote share.** Aggregators and individual surveys from August place V in the 7–8% range while KD sits around 5–7%, producing an implied probability that V will finish ahead on election night. This positioning aligns with broader trends in which the centre-left opposition maintains an overall lead, though the right-wing governing bloc (Moderates, KD, Liberals, supported by the Sweden Democrats) has narrowed the gap slightly in some late readings. V’s support has remained relatively stable or edged higher in recent months, while KD has faced pressure as a junior coalition partner amid voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent government’s performance. Historical patterns in Swedish multi-party elections show smaller parties’ final rankings often track late polling averages closely, with limited volatility in the final weeks absent major events. Traders appear to weigh these polling dynamics and the short remaining timeline when pricing the outcome at roughly 74% for V receiving more votes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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