Voters in Washington will decide the Sex Verification Requirements for Female School Sports Initiative on the November 2026 ballot, which would bar biologically male students from female athletic teams and mandate healthcare documentation to verify sex for participation. Supporters, led by Let's Go Washington with roughly $7.5 million raised, cite fairness in competition and align with policies in 27 other states plus a June 2026 U.S. Supreme Court ruling upholding state authority on the issue. Opponents, including civil liberties groups, emphasize potential privacy impacts from verification processes and note Washington's current inclusive framework, with their side raising about $1.7 million. The slim trader edge for passage reflects divided public sentiment in this blue state, where campaign intensity, turnout among key demographics, and any late polling shifts on implementation details could narrow or widen the margin before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated54% chance
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
54% chance
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Washington ballot initiative IL26-638 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school sports based on an individual's biological sex.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/). Voters in Washington will decide the Sex Verification Requirements for Female School Sports Initiative on the November 2026 ballot, which would bar biologically male students from female athletic teams and mandate healthcare documentation to verify sex for participation. Supporters, led by Let's Go Washington with roughly $7.5 million raised, cite fairness in competition and align with policies in 27 other states plus a June 2026 U.S. Supreme Court ruling upholding state authority on the issue. Opponents, including civil liberties groups, emphasize potential privacy impacts from verification processes and note Washington's current inclusive framework, with their side raising about $1.7 million. The slim trader edge for passage reflects divided public sentiment in this blue state, where campaign intensity, turnout among key demographics, and any late polling shifts on implementation details could narrow or widen the margin before election day.
Washington ballot initiative IL26-638 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school sports based on an individual's biological sex.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Volume
$401End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Washington ballot initiative IL26-638 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school sports based on an individual's biological sex.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/). Voters in Washington will decide the Sex Verification Requirements for Female School Sports Initiative on the November 2026 ballot, which would bar biologically male students from female athletic teams and mandate healthcare documentation to verify sex for participation. Supporters, led by Let's Go Washington with roughly $7.5 million raised, cite fairness in competition and align with policies in 27 other states plus a June 2026 U.S. Supreme Court ruling upholding state authority on the issue. Opponents, including civil liberties groups, emphasize potential privacy impacts from verification processes and note Washington's current inclusive framework, with their side raising about $1.7 million. The slim trader edge for passage reflects divided public sentiment in this blue state, where campaign intensity, turnout among key demographics, and any late polling shifts on implementation details could narrow or widen the margin before election day.
Washington ballot initiative IL26-638 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school sports based on an individual's biological sex.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
Volume
$401End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Voters in Washington will decide the Sex Verification Requirements for Female School Sports Initiative on the November 2026 ballot, which would bar biologically male students from female athletic teams and mandate healthcare documentation to verify sex for participation. Supporters, led by Let's Go Washington with roughly $7.5 million raised, cite fairness in competition and align with policies in 27 other states plus a June 2026 U.S. Supreme Court ruling upholding state authority on the issue. Opponents, including civil liberties groups, emphasize potential privacy impacts from verification processes and note Washington's current inclusive framework, with their side raising about $1.7 million. The slim trader edge for passage reflects divided public sentiment in this blue state, where campaign intensity, turnout among key demographics, and any late polling shifts on implementation details could narrow or widen the margin before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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