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icon for Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

icon for Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

$342,604 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$342,604 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Maia Sandu

Maia Sandu

$4,277 Vol.

98%

icon for António Costa

António Costa

$35,244 Vol.

97%

icon for Andy Burnham

Andy Burnham

$15,616 Vol.

87%

icon for Donald Tusk

Donald Tusk

$12,035 Vol.

89%

icon for Ursula von der Leyen

Ursula von der Leyen

$8,741 Vol.

70%

icon for Jared Kushner

Jared Kushner

$4,798 Vol.

63%

icon for Mark Rutte

Mark Rutte

$8,891 Vol.

69%

icon for Steve Witkoff

Steve Witkoff

$5,471 Vol.

69%

icon for António Guterres

António Guterres

$9,100 Vol.

40%

icon for Friedrich Merz

Friedrich Merz

$12,078 Vol.

27%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$108,768 Vol.

8%

icon for JD Vance

JD Vance

$72,312 Vol.

7%

icon for Emmanuel Macron

Emmanuel Macron

$6,960 Vol.

47%

icon for Mark Carney

Mark Carney

$10,953 Vol.

60%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.US diplomatic efforts to advance negotiations in the Russia-Ukraine conflict have centered on special envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, whose potential Kyiv visits gained attention after meetings between Presidents Trump and Zelenskyy in June and July 2026. Reports indicate the pair is discussing a trip as part of broader shuttle diplomacy that includes Moscow, with earlier timelines suggesting activity by mid-August. This aligns with ongoing US priorities on security guarantees, air defense support, and ceasefire talks. European leaders have conducted visits earlier in 2026, including EU Commission and Council presidents in February and additional summits in July, but trader focus remains on US figures tied to the current administration’s peace initiative. Scheduled diplomatic events through year-end, including possible follow-up summits or bilateral talks, could influence whether additional officials travel before the December 31 resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$342,604
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.US diplomatic efforts to advance negotiations in the Russia-Ukraine conflict have centered on special envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, whose potential Kyiv visits gained attention after meetings between Presidents Trump and Zelenskyy in June and July 2026. Reports indicate the pair is discussing a trip as part of broader shuttle diplomacy that includes Moscow, with earlier timelines suggesting activity by mid-August. This aligns with ongoing US priorities on security guarantees, air defense support, and ceasefire talks. European leaders have conducted visits earlier in 2026, including EU Commission and Council presidents in February and additional summits in July, but trader focus remains on US figures tied to the current administration’s peace initiative. Scheduled diplomatic events through year-end, including possible follow-up summits or bilateral talks, could influence whether additional officials travel before the December 31 resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$342,604
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Keith Kellogg" at 100%, followed by "Maia Sandu" at 98%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?" has generated $342.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?" is "Keith Kellogg" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Maia Sandu" at 98%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.