**Widow’s Bay’s breakout momentum as a critically acclaimed freshman horror-comedy has driven its market lead, fueled by strong word-of-mouth, 19 Emmy nominations including key creative and acting nods for Matthew Rhys and the ensemble, and a timely spring-summer rollout that aligned with voting.** Hacks maintains a close second on the strength of its record 24 nominations, final-season goodwill, and established voter support for Jean Smart’s performance, though its frontrunner status has softened amid the newcomer’s surge. Other nominees like Abbott Elementary, Shrinking, and Margo’s Got Money Troubles trail with far lower implied probabilities due to fewer major nods and less recent awards buzz. With final voting wrapping soon ahead of the September 14 ceremony, late campaign efforts and guild/precursor signals will be key swing factors in this tight two-horse race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series
“Widow’s Bay” 55%
“Hacks” 41.9%
“Abbott Elementary” 1.7%
“Margo’s Got Money Troubles” <1%
$72,080 Vol.
$72,080 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
“Widow’s Bay”
55%
“Hacks”
42%
“Abbott Elementary”
2%
“Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
1%
“Shrinking”
1%
“Only Murders in the Building”
1%
“The Bear”
1%
“Nobody Wants This”
<1%
“Widow’s Bay” 55%
“Hacks” 41.9%
“Abbott Elementary” 1.7%
“Margo’s Got Money Troubles” <1%
$72,080 Vol.
$72,080 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
“Widow’s Bay”
$24,784 Vol.
55%
“Hacks”
$15,955 Vol.
42%
“Abbott Elementary”
$4,871 Vol.
2%
“Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
$4,531 Vol.
1%
“Shrinking”
$5,146 Vol.
1%
“Only Murders in the Building”
$4,491 Vol.
1%
“The Bear”
$6,483 Vol.
1%
“Nobody Wants This”
$5,817 Vol.
<1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Widow’s Bay’s breakout momentum as a critically acclaimed freshman horror-comedy has driven its market lead, fueled by strong word-of-mouth, 19 Emmy nominations including key creative and acting nods for Matthew Rhys and the ensemble, and a timely spring-summer rollout that aligned with voting.** Hacks maintains a close second on the strength of its record 24 nominations, final-season goodwill, and established voter support for Jean Smart’s performance, though its frontrunner status has softened amid the newcomer’s surge. Other nominees like Abbott Elementary, Shrinking, and Margo’s Got Money Troubles trail with far lower implied probabilities due to fewer major nods and less recent awards buzz. With final voting wrapping soon ahead of the September 14 ceremony, late campaign efforts and guild/precursor signals will be key swing factors in this tight two-horse race.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Volume
$72,080End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Widow’s Bay’s breakout momentum as a critically acclaimed freshman horror-comedy has driven its market lead, fueled by strong word-of-mouth, 19 Emmy nominations including key creative and acting nods for Matthew Rhys and the ensemble, and a timely spring-summer rollout that aligned with voting.** Hacks maintains a close second on the strength of its record 24 nominations, final-season goodwill, and established voter support for Jean Smart’s performance, though its frontrunner status has softened amid the newcomer’s surge. Other nominees like Abbott Elementary, Shrinking, and Margo’s Got Money Troubles trail with far lower implied probabilities due to fewer major nods and less recent awards buzz. With final voting wrapping soon ahead of the September 14 ceremony, late campaign efforts and guild/precursor signals will be key swing factors in this tight two-horse race.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$72,080End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Widow’s Bay’s breakout momentum as a critically acclaimed freshman horror-comedy has driven its market lead, fueled by strong word-of-mouth, 19 Emmy nominations including key creative and acting nods for Matthew Rhys and the ensemble, and a timely spring-summer rollout that aligned with voting.** Hacks maintains a close second on the strength of its record 24 nominations, final-season goodwill, and established voter support for Jean Smart’s performance, though its frontrunner status has softened amid the newcomer’s surge. Other nominees like Abbott Elementary, Shrinking, and Margo’s Got Money Troubles trail with far lower implied probabilities due to fewer major nods and less recent awards buzz. With final voting wrapping soon ahead of the September 14 ceremony, late campaign efforts and guild/precursor signals will be key swing factors in this tight two-horse race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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