Florida’s newly redrawn 22nd congressional district, an open seat following 2026 redistricting that shifted its partisan voting index to R+4, favors Republicans in most independent ratings including Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Casey Askar, a businessman and former Marine, secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary against a crowded, self-funded field, while Pia Dandiya, a former educator, easily won the Democratic primary. The general election matchup on November 3 features substantial outside spending and self-funding, positioning the race as competitive yet Republican-leaning in trader consensus, with Democratic opportunities tied to turnout in Broward and Palm Beach areas.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-22 House Election Winner
FL-22 House Election Winner
$39,515 Vol.
$39,515 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
61%
Democratic Party
40%
$39,515 Vol.
$39,515 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$22,574 Vol.
61%
Democratic Party
$16,941 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida’s newly redrawn 22nd congressional district, an open seat following 2026 redistricting that shifted its partisan voting index to R+4, favors Republicans in most independent ratings including Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Casey Askar, a businessman and former Marine, secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary against a crowded, self-funded field, while Pia Dandiya, a former educator, easily won the Democratic primary. The general election matchup on November 3 features substantial outside spending and self-funding, positioning the race as competitive yet Republican-leaning in trader consensus, with Democratic opportunities tied to turnout in Broward and Palm Beach areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$39,515End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida’s newly redrawn 22nd congressional district, an open seat following 2026 redistricting that shifted its partisan voting index to R+4, favors Republicans in most independent ratings including Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Casey Askar, a businessman and former Marine, secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary against a crowded, self-funded field, while Pia Dandiya, a former educator, easily won the Democratic primary. The general election matchup on November 3 features substantial outside spending and self-funding, positioning the race as competitive yet Republican-leaning in trader consensus, with Democratic opportunities tied to turnout in Broward and Palm Beach areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,515End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida’s newly redrawn 22nd congressional district, an open seat following 2026 redistricting that shifted its partisan voting index to R+4, favors Republicans in most independent ratings including Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Casey Askar, a businessman and former Marine, secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary against a crowded, self-funded field, while Pia Dandiya, a former educator, easily won the Democratic primary. The general election matchup on November 3 features substantial outside spending and self-funding, positioning the race as competitive yet Republican-leaning in trader consensus, with Democratic opportunities tied to turnout in Broward and Palm Beach areas.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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