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Politics·Georgia

GA-13 Special Election Winner

icon for GA-13 Special Election Winner
Politics·Georgia

GA-13 Special Election Winner

Marcye Scott 86.5%

Everton Blair 13.4%

Tony Brown <1%

Carlos Moore <1%

Polymarket

$38,288 Vol.

Marcye Scott 86.5%

Everton Blair 13.4%

Tony Brown <1%

Carlos Moore <1%

Polymarket

$38,288 Vol.

icon for Marcye Scott

Marcye Scott

$21,616 Vol.

87%

icon for Everton Blair

Everton Blair

$8,551 Vol.

13%

icon for Tony Brown

Tony Brown

$602 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Moore

Carlos Moore

$6,473 Vol.

<1%

icon for Caesar Gonzales

Caesar Gonzales

$520 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fayth Park

Fayth Park

$526 Vol.

<1%

A special election is currently scheduled for July 28, 2026 to fill the seat of Georgia’s 13th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives, with a potential runoff scheduled for August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://sos.ga.gov/. Marcye Scott leads the GA-13 special election market at 86.5% implied probability ahead of the August 25 runoff, while Everton Blair sits at 13.4% and all other listed candidates remain at or near zero. The July 28 first-round results positioned Scott and Blair as the top two finishers in the Democratic-leaning district vacated by the late Rep. David Scott, with Scott capturing roughly 46-47% and Blair 37%. Scott’s name recognition as the former incumbent’s daughter and the short campaign window between rounds have reinforced trader consensus on her edge in the head-to-head contest. The solidly Democratic partisan composition of the district and the negligible combined first-round showing by Republican candidates further limit pathways for any other outcome before the runoff concludes.

A special election is currently scheduled for July 28, 2026 to fill the seat of Georgia’s 13th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives, with a potential runoff scheduled for August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://sos.ga.gov/.
Volume
$38,288
End Date
Jul 29, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 3:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is currently scheduled for July 28, 2026 to fill the seat of Georgia’s 13th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives, with a potential runoff scheduled for August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://sos.ga.gov/.
A special election is currently scheduled for July 28, 2026 to fill the seat of Georgia’s 13th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives, with a potential runoff scheduled for August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://sos.ga.gov/. Marcye Scott leads the GA-13 special election market at 86.5% implied probability ahead of the August 25 runoff, while Everton Blair sits at 13.4% and all other listed candidates remain at or near zero. The July 28 first-round results positioned Scott and Blair as the top two finishers in the Democratic-leaning district vacated by the late Rep. David Scott, with Scott capturing roughly 46-47% and Blair 37%. Scott’s name recognition as the former incumbent’s daughter and the short campaign window between rounds have reinforced trader consensus on her edge in the head-to-head contest. The solidly Democratic partisan composition of the district and the negligible combined first-round showing by Republican candidates further limit pathways for any other outcome before the runoff concludes.

A special election is currently scheduled for July 28, 2026 to fill the seat of Georgia’s 13th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives, with a potential runoff scheduled for August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://sos.ga.gov/.
Volume
$38,288
End Date
Jul 29, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 3:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is currently scheduled for July 28, 2026 to fill the seat of Georgia’s 13th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives, with a potential runoff scheduled for August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://sos.ga.gov/.

Related

icon for Will the Democratic Party win the GA-13 House seat?

Will the Democratic Party win the GA-13 House seat?

96%
icon for Will the Republican Party win the GA-14 House seat?

Will the Republican Party win the GA-14 House seat?

95%
icon for Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat?

Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat?

83%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"GA-13 Special Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marcye Scott" at 87%, followed by "Everton Blair" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "GA-13 Special Election Winner" has generated $38.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "GA-13 Special Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "GA-13 Special Election Winner" is "Marcye Scott" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Everton Blair" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "GA-13 Special Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.