Trader consensus around $4.50–$6.50 per GPU-hour for B200 rentals by end-2026 reflects the tug-of-war between accelerating Blackwell supply and persistent AI demand. TSMC CoWoS-L and HBM3e constraints continue to limit volume despite NVIDIA’s ramp, while neocloud spot rates sit near $3–$4 and hyperscaler on-demand lists exceed $14. Surging inference workloads, power-delivery bottlenecks in major data-center regions, and limited AMD MI300X or custom-ASIC displacement keep utilization high. The market-implied distribution captures uncertainty over whether 2026 production gains and next-generation Rubin availability will ease pricing before year-end or whether frontier training and agentic inference sustain premiums.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$6.00-$6.50 26%
$5.50-$6.00 18%
$4.50-$5.00 15%
$5.00-$5.50 14.0%
$57,885 Vol.
$57,885 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$3.00
8%
$3.00-$3.50
4%
$3.50-$4.00
4%
$4.00-$4.50
6%
$4.50-$5.00
15%
$5.00-$5.50
14%
$5.50-$6.00
18%
$6.00-$6.50
26%
$6.50-$7.00
9%
$7.00+
8%
$6.00-$6.50 26%
$5.50-$6.00 18%
$4.50-$5.00 15%
$5.00-$5.50 14.0%
$57,885 Vol.
$57,885 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$3.00
$3,016 Vol.
8%
$3.00-$3.50
$3,336 Vol.
4%
$3.50-$4.00
$3,765 Vol.
4%
$4.00-$4.50
$4,286 Vol.
6%
$4.50-$5.00
$10,392 Vol.
15%
$5.00-$5.50
$7,759 Vol.
14%
$5.50-$6.00
$5,811 Vol.
18%
$6.00-$6.50
$8,060 Vol.
26%
$6.50-$7.00
$5,534 Vol.
9%
$7.00+
$5,926 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Trader consensus around $4.50–$6.50 per GPU-hour for B200 rentals by end-2026 reflects the tug-of-war between accelerating Blackwell supply and persistent AI demand. TSMC CoWoS-L and HBM3e constraints continue to limit volume despite NVIDIA’s ramp, while neocloud spot rates sit near $3–$4 and hyperscaler on-demand lists exceed $14. Surging inference workloads, power-delivery bottlenecks in major data-center regions, and limited AMD MI300X or custom-ASIC displacement keep utilization high. The market-implied distribution captures uncertainty over whether 2026 production gains and next-generation Rubin availability will ease pricing before year-end or whether frontier training and agentic inference sustain premiums.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Volume
$57,885End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Trader consensus around $4.50–$6.50 per GPU-hour for B200 rentals by end-2026 reflects the tug-of-war between accelerating Blackwell supply and persistent AI demand. TSMC CoWoS-L and HBM3e constraints continue to limit volume despite NVIDIA’s ramp, while neocloud spot rates sit near $3–$4 and hyperscaler on-demand lists exceed $14. Surging inference workloads, power-delivery bottlenecks in major data-center regions, and limited AMD MI300X or custom-ASIC displacement keep utilization high. The market-implied distribution captures uncertainty over whether 2026 production gains and next-generation Rubin availability will ease pricing before year-end or whether frontier training and agentic inference sustain premiums.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$57,885End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around $4.50–$6.50 per GPU-hour for B200 rentals by end-2026 reflects the tug-of-war between accelerating Blackwell supply and persistent AI demand. TSMC CoWoS-L and HBM3e constraints continue to limit volume despite NVIDIA’s ramp, while neocloud spot rates sit near $3–$4 and hyperscaler on-demand lists exceed $14. Surging inference workloads, power-delivery bottlenecks in major data-center regions, and limited AMD MI300X or custom-ASIC displacement keep utilization high. The market-implied distribution captures uncertainty over whether 2026 production gains and next-generation Rubin availability will ease pricing before year-end or whether frontier training and agentic inference sustain premiums.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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