Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate peak temperatures in Chongqing on September 7 will most likely reach 37°C, driven by persistent high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light southeasterly winds that limit mixing and allow daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin. Recent observations show daily highs of 34–36°C under similar conditions, with minimal precipitation expected to sustain clear conditions. These align with the market’s leading 37°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability, ahead of 38°C at 29.5%, while lower probabilities for 36°C or below reflect the narrow window for any increased cloud cover or earlier cooling. Official resolution will depend on verified maximum readings from central urban stations, with final model updates available in the next 24–48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 7?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 7?
37°C 45%
38°C 30%
36°C 15%
39°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
32°C or below
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
5%
36°C
15%
37°C
45%
38°C
30%
39°C
8%
40°C
3%
41°C
3%
42°C or higher
3%
37°C 45%
38°C 30%
36°C 15%
39°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
32°C or below
$117 Vol.
1%
33°C
$0 Vol.
1%
34°C
$0 Vol.
4%
35°C
$2 Vol.
5%
36°C
$6 Vol.
15%
37°C
$186 Vol.
45%
38°C
$100 Vol.
30%
39°C
$5 Vol.
8%
40°C
$120 Vol.
3%
41°C
$108 Vol.
3%
42°C or higher
$17 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate peak temperatures in Chongqing on September 7 will most likely reach 37°C, driven by persistent high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light southeasterly winds that limit mixing and allow daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin. Recent observations show daily highs of 34–36°C under similar conditions, with minimal precipitation expected to sustain clear conditions. These align with the market’s leading 37°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability, ahead of 38°C at 29.5%, while lower probabilities for 36°C or below reflect the narrow window for any increased cloud cover or earlier cooling. Official resolution will depend on verified maximum readings from central urban stations, with final model updates available in the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$661End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate peak temperatures in Chongqing on September 7 will most likely reach 37°C, driven by persistent high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light southeasterly winds that limit mixing and allow daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin. Recent observations show daily highs of 34–36°C under similar conditions, with minimal precipitation expected to sustain clear conditions. These align with the market’s leading 37°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability, ahead of 38°C at 29.5%, while lower probabilities for 36°C or below reflect the narrow window for any increased cloud cover or earlier cooling. Official resolution will depend on verified maximum readings from central urban stations, with final model updates available in the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$661End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate peak temperatures in Chongqing on September 7 will most likely reach 37°C, driven by persistent high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light southeasterly winds that limit mixing and allow daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin. Recent observations show daily highs of 34–36°C under similar conditions, with minimal precipitation expected to sustain clear conditions. These align with the market’s leading 37°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability, ahead of 38°C at 29.5%, while lower probabilities for 36°C or below reflect the narrow window for any increased cloud cover or earlier cooling. Official resolution will depend on verified maximum readings from central urban stations, with final model updates available in the next 24–48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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