Recent meteorological forecasts from sources like the GFS model indicate a high of 24–25°C in Paris on September 5, driven by northwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity around 40–50%, keeping conditions near the seasonal average of 23°C. Official observations through midday showed temperatures climbing toward 23°C, supporting trader consensus on these outcomes amid limited warming potential from clear evening skies. Model runs show minimal divergence on peak timing before sunset, with low precipitation risk reducing variability, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the final maximum between the two leading bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on September 5?
25°C 55%
24°C 33%
26°C 16%
27°C <1%
$46,895 Vol.
$46,895 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
33%
25°C
55%
26°C
16%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 55%
24°C 33%
26°C 16%
27°C <1%
$46,895 Vol.
$46,895 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
33%
25°C
55%
26°C
16%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from sources like the GFS model indicate a high of 24–25°C in Paris on September 5, driven by northwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity around 40–50%, keeping conditions near the seasonal average of 23°C. Official observations through midday showed temperatures climbing toward 23°C, supporting trader consensus on these outcomes amid limited warming potential from clear evening skies. Model runs show minimal divergence on peak timing before sunset, with low precipitation risk reducing variability, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the final maximum between the two leading bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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