Latest short-range forecast models indicate afternoon highs in Panama City are most likely to peak near 32–33°C, driven by typical early-September trade wind patterns, high humidity near 80–90%, and intermittent cloud cover that permits periods of stronger solar heating before afternoon convection develops. This aligns with the historical September average maximum of 30–31°C at Tocumen International Airport while accounting for urban heat island effects and model consensus showing limited intensification potential. Thunderstorm activity, expected later in the day per regional guidance, should cap further rises, keeping 34°C or higher probabilities lower. Updated model runs and official observations from Panamanian meteorological sources through the afternoon will provide the key data points for final market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 5?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 5?
33°C 42%
32°C 30%
34°C or higher 18%
31°C 7%
$31,957 Vol.
$31,957 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
30%
33°C
42%
34°C or higher
18%
33°C 42%
32°C 30%
34°C or higher 18%
31°C 7%
$31,957 Vol.
$31,957 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
24°C or below
$24,333 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,198 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,372 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$503 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$258 Vol.
1%
30°C
$971 Vol.
3%
31°C
$646 Vol.
7%
32°C
$594 Vol.
30%
33°C
$1,310 Vol.
42%
34°C or higher
$609 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range forecast models indicate afternoon highs in Panama City are most likely to peak near 32–33°C, driven by typical early-September trade wind patterns, high humidity near 80–90%, and intermittent cloud cover that permits periods of stronger solar heating before afternoon convection develops. This aligns with the historical September average maximum of 30–31°C at Tocumen International Airport while accounting for urban heat island effects and model consensus showing limited intensification potential. Thunderstorm activity, expected later in the day per regional guidance, should cap further rises, keeping 34°C or higher probabilities lower. Updated model runs and official observations from Panamanian meteorological sources through the afternoon will provide the key data points for final market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$31,957End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range forecast models indicate afternoon highs in Panama City are most likely to peak near 32–33°C, driven by typical early-September trade wind patterns, high humidity near 80–90%, and intermittent cloud cover that permits periods of stronger solar heating before afternoon convection develops. This aligns with the historical September average maximum of 30–31°C at Tocumen International Airport while accounting for urban heat island effects and model consensus showing limited intensification potential. Thunderstorm activity, expected later in the day per regional guidance, should cap further rises, keeping 34°C or higher probabilities lower. Updated model runs and official observations from Panamanian meteorological sources through the afternoon will provide the key data points for final market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,957End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecast models indicate afternoon highs in Panama City are most likely to peak near 32–33°C, driven by typical early-September trade wind patterns, high humidity near 80–90%, and intermittent cloud cover that permits periods of stronger solar heating before afternoon convection develops. This aligns with the historical September average maximum of 30–31°C at Tocumen International Airport while accounting for urban heat island effects and model consensus showing limited intensification potential. Thunderstorm activity, expected later in the day per regional guidance, should cap further rises, keeping 34°C or higher probabilities lower. Updated model runs and official observations from Panamanian meteorological sources through the afternoon will provide the key data points for final market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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