Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to an overnight low near 25°C on September 5 amid active rainy-season conditions driven by tropical wave 42 and the monsoon trough. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered thunderstorms limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures aligned with September climatology of roughly 24°C. Model consensus from IMHPA and international guidance shows limited variability, with any clearer breaks potentially allowing brief dips toward 23–24°C while widespread rain tends to hold readings higher. Trader positioning around the 20–25°C thresholds reflects this narrow uncertainty band ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on September 5?
22°C 88%
23°C 88%
25°C 45%
26°C 43%
$502 Vol.
$502 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
-
21°C
1%
22°C
88%
23°C
88%
24°C
41%
25°C
45%
26°C
43%
27°C
42%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 88%
23°C 88%
25°C 45%
26°C 43%
$502 Vol.
$502 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
$72 Vol.
-
21°C
$182 Vol.
1%
22°C
$22 Vol.
88%
23°C
$32 Vol.
88%
24°C
$0 Vol.
41%
25°C
$1 Vol.
45%
26°C
$1 Vol.
43%
27°C
$10 Vol.
42%
28°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$47 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$62 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to an overnight low near 25°C on September 5 amid active rainy-season conditions driven by tropical wave 42 and the monsoon trough. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered thunderstorms limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures aligned with September climatology of roughly 24°C. Model consensus from IMHPA and international guidance shows limited variability, with any clearer breaks potentially allowing brief dips toward 23–24°C while widespread rain tends to hold readings higher. Trader positioning around the 20–25°C thresholds reflects this narrow uncertainty band ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$502End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to an overnight low near 25°C on September 5 amid active rainy-season conditions driven by tropical wave 42 and the monsoon trough. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered thunderstorms limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures aligned with September climatology of roughly 24°C. Model consensus from IMHPA and international guidance shows limited variability, with any clearer breaks potentially allowing brief dips toward 23–24°C while widespread rain tends to hold readings higher. Trader positioning around the 20–25°C thresholds reflects this narrow uncertainty band ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$502End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to an overnight low near 25°C on September 5 amid active rainy-season conditions driven by tropical wave 42 and the monsoon trough. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered thunderstorms limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures aligned with September climatology of roughly 24°C. Model consensus from IMHPA and international guidance shows limited variability, with any clearer breaks potentially allowing brief dips toward 23–24°C while widespread rain tends to hold readings higher. Trader positioning around the 20–25°C thresholds reflects this narrow uncertainty band ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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