Current forecasts from multiple models and official agencies indicate peak temperatures in Milan today will reach the low-to-mid 30s Celsius under clear, sunny conditions with light westerly winds, consistent with late-summer heat influenced by high pressure. Real-time observations show afternoon readings climbing through the low 30s, with model consensus pointing to a maximum near 34–35 °C, though measurement at the specific official station used for resolution introduces some variability. Trader positioning favors 32–33 °C outcomes, reflecting caution around exact peak timing and potential minor cooling from local effects or slight forecast adjustments before evening. Historical September maxima in the region typically range lower, underscoring the anomalous warmth, while upcoming hourly updates from monitoring stations will refine probabilities ahead of daily close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on September 5?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 5?
33°C 60%
32°C 35%
34°C 5%
31°C 4.3%
$51,924 Vol.
$51,924 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
35%
33°C
60%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 60%
32°C 35%
34°C 5%
31°C 4.3%
$51,924 Vol.
$51,924 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
28°C or below
$11,540 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$7,747 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,200 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,530 Vol.
4%
32°C
$5,803 Vol.
35%
33°C
$8,967 Vol.
60%
34°C
$4,563 Vol.
5%
35°C
$2,663 Vol.
2%
36°C
$1,525 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,256 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,130 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models and official agencies indicate peak temperatures in Milan today will reach the low-to-mid 30s Celsius under clear, sunny conditions with light westerly winds, consistent with late-summer heat influenced by high pressure. Real-time observations show afternoon readings climbing through the low 30s, with model consensus pointing to a maximum near 34–35 °C, though measurement at the specific official station used for resolution introduces some variability. Trader positioning favors 32–33 °C outcomes, reflecting caution around exact peak timing and potential minor cooling from local effects or slight forecast adjustments before evening. Historical September maxima in the region typically range lower, underscoring the anomalous warmth, while upcoming hourly updates from monitoring stations will refine probabilities ahead of daily close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$51,924End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models and official agencies indicate peak temperatures in Milan today will reach the low-to-mid 30s Celsius under clear, sunny conditions with light westerly winds, consistent with late-summer heat influenced by high pressure. Real-time observations show afternoon readings climbing through the low 30s, with model consensus pointing to a maximum near 34–35 °C, though measurement at the specific official station used for resolution introduces some variability. Trader positioning favors 32–33 °C outcomes, reflecting caution around exact peak timing and potential minor cooling from local effects or slight forecast adjustments before evening. Historical September maxima in the region typically range lower, underscoring the anomalous warmth, while upcoming hourly updates from monitoring stations will refine probabilities ahead of daily close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$51,924End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models and official agencies indicate peak temperatures in Milan today will reach the low-to-mid 30s Celsius under clear, sunny conditions with light westerly winds, consistent with late-summer heat influenced by high pressure. Real-time observations show afternoon readings climbing through the low 30s, with model consensus pointing to a maximum near 34–35 °C, though measurement at the specific official station used for resolution introduces some variability. Trader positioning favors 32–33 °C outcomes, reflecting caution around exact peak timing and potential minor cooling from local effects or slight forecast adjustments before evening. Historical September maxima in the region typically range lower, underscoring the anomalous warmth, while upcoming hourly updates from monitoring stations will refine probabilities ahead of daily close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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