Recent short-range forecasts from models such as GFS indicate a daily maximum of 32–33 °C in Milan on September 7, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies, light southeasterly flow, and minimal cloud cover that permits strong daytime solar heating. These conditions align with current trader consensus favoring 32 °C at 44.5 % implied probability, followed by 31 °C, as ensemble guidance shows little spread and no significant frontal passage expected before resolution. Daytime highs near 33 °C remain possible if afternoon mixing strengthens slightly, while probabilities for 34 °C or higher stay low given the modest dew points and lack of stronger subsidence. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak before the market settles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on September 7?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 7?
32°C 45%
31°C 35%
33°C 13%
34°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
5%
31°C
35%
32°C
45%
33°C
13%
34°C
5%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 45%
31°C 35%
33°C 13%
34°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
28°C or below
$113 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
5%
30°C
$25 Vol.
5%
31°C
$333 Vol.
35%
32°C
$147 Vol.
45%
33°C
$15 Vol.
13%
34°C
$11 Vol.
5%
35°C
$11 Vol.
5%
36°C
$0 Vol.
2%
37°C
$0 Vol.
2%
38°C or higher
$215 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from models such as GFS indicate a daily maximum of 32–33 °C in Milan on September 7, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies, light southeasterly flow, and minimal cloud cover that permits strong daytime solar heating. These conditions align with current trader consensus favoring 32 °C at 44.5 % implied probability, followed by 31 °C, as ensemble guidance shows little spread and no significant frontal passage expected before resolution. Daytime highs near 33 °C remain possible if afternoon mixing strengthens slightly, while probabilities for 34 °C or higher stay low given the modest dew points and lack of stronger subsidence. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$870End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from models such as GFS indicate a daily maximum of 32–33 °C in Milan on September 7, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies, light southeasterly flow, and minimal cloud cover that permits strong daytime solar heating. These conditions align with current trader consensus favoring 32 °C at 44.5 % implied probability, followed by 31 °C, as ensemble guidance shows little spread and no significant frontal passage expected before resolution. Daytime highs near 33 °C remain possible if afternoon mixing strengthens slightly, while probabilities for 34 °C or higher stay low given the modest dew points and lack of stronger subsidence. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$870End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from models such as GFS indicate a daily maximum of 32–33 °C in Milan on September 7, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies, light southeasterly flow, and minimal cloud cover that permits strong daytime solar heating. These conditions align with current trader consensus favoring 32 °C at 44.5 % implied probability, followed by 31 °C, as ensemble guidance shows little spread and no significant frontal passage expected before resolution. Daytime highs near 33 °C remain possible if afternoon mixing strengthens slightly, while probabilities for 34 °C or higher stay low given the modest dew points and lack of stronger subsidence. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak before the market settles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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