Recent official forecasts from meteorological services project a peak temperature of 35°C across Chongqing on September 5, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southeast winds and moderate humidity. Multiple model runs and station guidance align on this value, reflecting typical early-September climatology for the region where daytime heating under clear skies often reaches the mid-30s. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 35°C reflects this strong forecast agreement and the low likelihood of significant deviation before resolution. A sudden increase in cloud cover or an unseasonal frontal passage could lower the maximum, though current observations and short-term guidance show no such development.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 5?
35°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$40,553 Vol.
$40,553 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$40,553 Vol.
$40,553 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from meteorological services project a peak temperature of 35°C across Chongqing on September 5, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southeast winds and moderate humidity. Multiple model runs and station guidance align on this value, reflecting typical early-September climatology for the region where daytime heating under clear skies often reaches the mid-30s. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 35°C reflects this strong forecast agreement and the low likelihood of significant deviation before resolution. A sudden increase in cloud cover or an unseasonal frontal passage could lower the maximum, though current observations and short-term guidance show no such development.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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