Recent forecasts from official monitoring indicate Chongqing's overnight minimum on September 5 will settle near 26°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and elevated humidity typical of its subtropical monsoon climate. Persistent warm advection and the absence of a strong cold front or significant precipitation have kept temperatures above seasonal September averages (historical lows near 22°C), supporting the market's strong consensus around 26°C. Model runs show limited cooling potential before dawn, though any unexpected clearing or urban heat-island effects could nudge readings slightly lower. Later-week cooling trends are already priced into lower-probability outcomes like 20°C or below.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 5?
20°C or below 71%
22°C 10%
23°C 10%
27°C <1%
$2,195 Vol.
$2,195 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
71%
21°C
-
22°C
10%
23°C
10%
24°C
-
25°C
35%
26°C
-
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
20°C or below 71%
22°C 10%
23°C 10%
27°C <1%
$2,195 Vol.
$2,195 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
$75 Vol.
71%
21°C
$21 Vol.
-
22°C
$22 Vol.
10%
23°C
$22 Vol.
10%
24°C
$116 Vol.
-
25°C
$116 Vol.
35%
26°C
$637 Vol.
-
27°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,035 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$81 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from official monitoring indicate Chongqing's overnight minimum on September 5 will settle near 26°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and elevated humidity typical of its subtropical monsoon climate. Persistent warm advection and the absence of a strong cold front or significant precipitation have kept temperatures above seasonal September averages (historical lows near 22°C), supporting the market's strong consensus around 26°C. Model runs show limited cooling potential before dawn, though any unexpected clearing or urban heat-island effects could nudge readings slightly lower. Later-week cooling trends are already priced into lower-probability outcomes like 20°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,195End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from official monitoring indicate Chongqing's overnight minimum on September 5 will settle near 26°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and elevated humidity typical of its subtropical monsoon climate. Persistent warm advection and the absence of a strong cold front or significant precipitation have kept temperatures above seasonal September averages (historical lows near 22°C), supporting the market's strong consensus around 26°C. Model runs show limited cooling potential before dawn, though any unexpected clearing or urban heat-island effects could nudge readings slightly lower. Later-week cooling trends are already priced into lower-probability outcomes like 20°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,195End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from official monitoring indicate Chongqing's overnight minimum on September 5 will settle near 26°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and elevated humidity typical of its subtropical monsoon climate. Persistent warm advection and the absence of a strong cold front or significant precipitation have kept temperatures above seasonal September averages (historical lows near 22°C), supporting the market's strong consensus around 26°C. Model runs show limited cooling potential before dawn, though any unexpected clearing or urban heat-island effects could nudge readings slightly lower. Later-week cooling trends are already priced into lower-probability outcomes like 20°C or below.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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