Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate minimum temperatures in Chongqing on September 6 clustering between 24–27 °C under mostly clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and moderate humidity levels near 45–60 %. This tight spread around typical early-September nocturnal cooling rates—driven by radiative heat loss after daytime highs near 35 °C—explains the closely matched market-implied odds for 24–27 °C outcomes. Ensemble variability in boundary-layer mixing and localized urban heat effects creates the observed dispersion, with lower probabilities assigned to 21 °C or below given the absence of stronger cold-air advection. Official station readings will finalize resolution once full daily data are compiled.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 6?
21°C or below 50%
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
28°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
21°C or below
50%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
27%
25°C
28%
26°C
36%
27°C
32%
28°C
50%
29°C
50%
30°C
50%
31°C or higher
43%
21°C or below 50%
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
28°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
50%
22°C
$0 Vol.
50%
23°C
$0 Vol.
50%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$0 Vol.
36%
27°C
$2 Vol.
32%
28°C
$0 Vol.
50%
29°C
$0 Vol.
50%
30°C
$0 Vol.
50%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate minimum temperatures in Chongqing on September 6 clustering between 24–27 °C under mostly clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and moderate humidity levels near 45–60 %. This tight spread around typical early-September nocturnal cooling rates—driven by radiative heat loss after daytime highs near 35 °C—explains the closely matched market-implied odds for 24–27 °C outcomes. Ensemble variability in boundary-layer mixing and localized urban heat effects creates the observed dispersion, with lower probabilities assigned to 21 °C or below given the absence of stronger cold-air advection. Official station readings will finalize resolution once full daily data are compiled.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate minimum temperatures in Chongqing on September 6 clustering between 24–27 °C under mostly clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and moderate humidity levels near 45–60 %. This tight spread around typical early-September nocturnal cooling rates—driven by radiative heat loss after daytime highs near 35 °C—explains the closely matched market-implied odds for 24–27 °C outcomes. Ensemble variability in boundary-layer mixing and localized urban heat effects creates the observed dispersion, with lower probabilities assigned to 21 °C or below given the absence of stronger cold-air advection. Official station readings will finalize resolution once full daily data are compiled.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate minimum temperatures in Chongqing on September 6 clustering between 24–27 °C under mostly clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and moderate humidity levels near 45–60 %. This tight spread around typical early-September nocturnal cooling rates—driven by radiative heat loss after daytime highs near 35 °C—explains the closely matched market-implied odds for 24–27 °C outcomes. Ensemble variability in boundary-layer mixing and localized urban heat effects creates the observed dispersion, with lower probabilities assigned to 21 °C or below given the absence of stronger cold-air advection. Official station readings will finalize resolution once full daily data are compiled.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions