Recent forecasts for Panamá City indicate a highest temperature most likely near 30–31°C on September 6, driven by persistent trade-wind moisture and convective activity typical of the late rainy season. Afternoon cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms reduce incoming solar radiation, moderating peak values below the seasonal climatological maximum of about 31.6°C. Model consensus from regional guidance shows highs around 29–30°C, with limited warming potential from weak steering flow and high relative humidity near 80 percent. Trader emphasis on the 31°C outcome reflects this baseline plus small upside from any temporary clearing, while the modest probability for 32°C or higher accounts for occasional model runs showing reduced rainfall. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and satellite observations of convective timing will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 6?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 6?
31°C 37%
32°C 26%
30°C 19%
33°C or higher 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
19%
31°C
37%
32°C
26%
33°C or higher
9%
31°C 37%
32°C 26%
30°C 19%
33°C or higher 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
23°C or below
$41 Vol.
1%
24°C
$255 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$255 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$16 Vol.
1%
27°C
$110 Vol.
1%
28°C
$201 Vol.
2%
29°C
$108 Vol.
6%
30°C
$562 Vol.
19%
31°C
$77 Vol.
37%
32°C
$689 Vol.
26%
33°C or higher
$169 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Panamá City indicate a highest temperature most likely near 30–31°C on September 6, driven by persistent trade-wind moisture and convective activity typical of the late rainy season. Afternoon cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms reduce incoming solar radiation, moderating peak values below the seasonal climatological maximum of about 31.6°C. Model consensus from regional guidance shows highs around 29–30°C, with limited warming potential from weak steering flow and high relative humidity near 80 percent. Trader emphasis on the 31°C outcome reflects this baseline plus small upside from any temporary clearing, while the modest probability for 32°C or higher accounts for occasional model runs showing reduced rainfall. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and satellite observations of convective timing will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,482End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Panamá City indicate a highest temperature most likely near 30–31°C on September 6, driven by persistent trade-wind moisture and convective activity typical of the late rainy season. Afternoon cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms reduce incoming solar radiation, moderating peak values below the seasonal climatological maximum of about 31.6°C. Model consensus from regional guidance shows highs around 29–30°C, with limited warming potential from weak steering flow and high relative humidity near 80 percent. Trader emphasis on the 31°C outcome reflects this baseline plus small upside from any temporary clearing, while the modest probability for 32°C or higher accounts for occasional model runs showing reduced rainfall. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and satellite observations of convective timing will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,482End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Panamá City indicate a highest temperature most likely near 30–31°C on September 6, driven by persistent trade-wind moisture and convective activity typical of the late rainy season. Afternoon cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms reduce incoming solar radiation, moderating peak values below the seasonal climatological maximum of about 31.6°C. Model consensus from regional guidance shows highs around 29–30°C, with limited warming potential from weak steering flow and high relative humidity near 80 percent. Trader emphasis on the 31°C outcome reflects this baseline plus small upside from any temporary clearing, while the modest probability for 32°C or higher accounts for occasional model runs showing reduced rainfall. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and satellite observations of convective timing will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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