Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as those referenced by WeatherBug indicate a high near 92–93°F for Houston on September 6, driven by partly sunny skies, light easterly winds, and afternoon thunderstorms that cap peak heating while maintaining high humidity and heat indices above 100°F. This aligns with the early September climatological average of 91°F and recent days showing similar upper-80s to low-90s readings without significant frontal passages. Market-implied odds concentrate on the 90–93°F bins because ensemble consensus favors this range, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes given typical steering patterns and moisture that limit both stronger heating and cooling. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening of September 5 will refine the final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on September 6?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 6?
90-91°F 45%
92-93°F 25%
88-89°F 22%
86-87°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
81°F or below
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
22%
90-91°F
45%
92-93°F
25%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 45%
92-93°F 25%
88-89°F 22%
86-87°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
81°F or below
$203 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$95 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$304 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$406 Vol.
7%
88-89°F
$1,811 Vol.
22%
90-91°F
$1,309 Vol.
45%
92-93°F
$1,334 Vol.
25%
94-95°F
$313 Vol.
4%
96-97°F
$35 Vol.
2%
98-99°F
$142 Vol.
1%
100°F or higher
$385 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as those referenced by WeatherBug indicate a high near 92–93°F for Houston on September 6, driven by partly sunny skies, light easterly winds, and afternoon thunderstorms that cap peak heating while maintaining high humidity and heat indices above 100°F. This aligns with the early September climatological average of 91°F and recent days showing similar upper-80s to low-90s readings without significant frontal passages. Market-implied odds concentrate on the 90–93°F bins because ensemble consensus favors this range, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes given typical steering patterns and moisture that limit both stronger heating and cooling. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening of September 5 will refine the final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,337End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as those referenced by WeatherBug indicate a high near 92–93°F for Houston on September 6, driven by partly sunny skies, light easterly winds, and afternoon thunderstorms that cap peak heating while maintaining high humidity and heat indices above 100°F. This aligns with the early September climatological average of 91°F and recent days showing similar upper-80s to low-90s readings without significant frontal passages. Market-implied odds concentrate on the 90–93°F bins because ensemble consensus favors this range, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes given typical steering patterns and moisture that limit both stronger heating and cooling. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening of September 5 will refine the final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,337End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as those referenced by WeatherBug indicate a high near 92–93°F for Houston on September 6, driven by partly sunny skies, light easterly winds, and afternoon thunderstorms that cap peak heating while maintaining high humidity and heat indices above 100°F. This aligns with the early September climatological average of 91°F and recent days showing similar upper-80s to low-90s readings without significant frontal passages. Market-implied odds concentrate on the 90–93°F bins because ensemble consensus favors this range, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes given typical steering patterns and moisture that limit both stronger heating and cooling. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening of September 5 will refine the final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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