Current forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and European ensembles project a daytime high in Munich on September 7 near 27–28 °C under partly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds and only isolated shower chances. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 27 °C (38 %) and 28 °C (27.5 %), as traders weigh the consensus around seasonal norms elevated by recent stable high-pressure patterns. Historical September 7 averages sit near 21 °C, while the all-time record stands at 29.6 °C; limited model spread and minimal advection of warmer air keep probabilities for 29 °C or higher below 20 %. Updated runs and any shifts in cloud timing ahead of resolution will likely drive the next adjustments in implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on September 7?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 7?
27°C 41%
28°C 29%
26°C 16%
29°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
16%
27°C
41%
28°C
29%
29°C
10%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
2%
27°C 41%
28°C 29%
26°C 16%
29°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
21°C or below
$125 Vol.
1%
22°C
$117 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
5%
25°C
$0 Vol.
5%
26°C
$230 Vol.
16%
27°C
$211 Vol.
41%
28°C
$222 Vol.
29%
29°C
$187 Vol.
10%
30°C
$0 Vol.
3%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and European ensembles project a daytime high in Munich on September 7 near 27–28 °C under partly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds and only isolated shower chances. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 27 °C (38 %) and 28 °C (27.5 %), as traders weigh the consensus around seasonal norms elevated by recent stable high-pressure patterns. Historical September 7 averages sit near 21 °C, while the all-time record stands at 29.6 °C; limited model spread and minimal advection of warmer air keep probabilities for 29 °C or higher below 20 %. Updated runs and any shifts in cloud timing ahead of resolution will likely drive the next adjustments in implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,093End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and European ensembles project a daytime high in Munich on September 7 near 27–28 °C under partly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds and only isolated shower chances. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 27 °C (38 %) and 28 °C (27.5 %), as traders weigh the consensus around seasonal norms elevated by recent stable high-pressure patterns. Historical September 7 averages sit near 21 °C, while the all-time record stands at 29.6 °C; limited model spread and minimal advection of warmer air keep probabilities for 29 °C or higher below 20 %. Updated runs and any shifts in cloud timing ahead of resolution will likely drive the next adjustments in implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,093End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and European ensembles project a daytime high in Munich on September 7 near 27–28 °C under partly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds and only isolated shower chances. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 27 °C (38 %) and 28 °C (27.5 %), as traders weigh the consensus around seasonal norms elevated by recent stable high-pressure patterns. Historical September 7 averages sit near 21 °C, while the all-time record stands at 29.6 °C; limited model spread and minimal advection of warmer air keep probabilities for 29 °C or higher below 20 %. Updated runs and any shifts in cloud timing ahead of resolution will likely drive the next adjustments in implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions