Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a maximum temperature of 28–29°C for Incheon on September 6, driven by persistent clear to partly cloudy skies, northeasterly winds of 6–9 m/s, and a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing cloud formation and moisture. This aligns with early-September climatology, where daily highs typically range 26–30°C absent strong frontal systems. Trader consensus, reflected in the 62% implied probability for 29°C and 21% for 28°C, incorporates these model outputs and the low chance of deviation from current steering patterns or unexpected diurnal heating. Updated model runs and official briefings scheduled for September 6 morning will provide the final observational data for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 6?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 6?
29°C 62%
28°C 21%
30°C 16%
31°C 3%
NEW
$26,673 Vol.
NEW
$26,673 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
21%
29°C
62%
30°C
16%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 62%
28°C 21%
30°C 16%
31°C 3%
NEW
$26,673 Vol.
NEW
$26,673 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
23°C or below
$15,788 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$245 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$390 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,137 Vol.
2%
28°C
$2,087 Vol.
21%
29°C
$2,243 Vol.
62%
30°C
$2,296 Vol.
16%
31°C
$906 Vol.
3%
32°C
$1,033 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$411 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a maximum temperature of 28–29°C for Incheon on September 6, driven by persistent clear to partly cloudy skies, northeasterly winds of 6–9 m/s, and a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing cloud formation and moisture. This aligns with early-September climatology, where daily highs typically range 26–30°C absent strong frontal systems. Trader consensus, reflected in the 62% implied probability for 29°C and 21% for 28°C, incorporates these model outputs and the low chance of deviation from current steering patterns or unexpected diurnal heating. Updated model runs and official briefings scheduled for September 6 morning will provide the final observational data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$26,673End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a maximum temperature of 28–29°C for Incheon on September 6, driven by persistent clear to partly cloudy skies, northeasterly winds of 6–9 m/s, and a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing cloud formation and moisture. This aligns with early-September climatology, where daily highs typically range 26–30°C absent strong frontal systems. Trader consensus, reflected in the 62% implied probability for 29°C and 21% for 28°C, incorporates these model outputs and the low chance of deviation from current steering patterns or unexpected diurnal heating. Updated model runs and official briefings scheduled for September 6 morning will provide the final observational data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26,673End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a maximum temperature of 28–29°C for Incheon on September 6, driven by persistent clear to partly cloudy skies, northeasterly winds of 6–9 m/s, and a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing cloud formation and moisture. This aligns with early-September climatology, where daily highs typically range 26–30°C absent strong frontal systems. Trader consensus, reflected in the 62% implied probability for 29°C and 21% for 28°C, incorporates these model outputs and the low chance of deviation from current steering patterns or unexpected diurnal heating. Updated model runs and official briefings scheduled for September 6 morning will provide the final observational data for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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