**Forecast consensus for Shenzhen on September 6 centers on a high near 30–31°C amid expected rainfall and cloud cover, driving the market’s heaviest weighting toward 31°C.** Multiple models and official outlooks indicate moderate to heavy rain, especially morning through afternoon, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima. Current conditions on September 5 show highs around 29–32°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly flow; the incoming moisture and thunderstorm activity tomorrow are expected to keep readings close to or slightly below the September climatological average of ~31°C. Traders appear to discount higher outcomes (32°C+) because precipitation and reduced insolation introduce realistic downside risk, while lower readings remain possible only with heavier or more persistent rain. Final observations from Shenzhen stations will resolve the market, with any late-day clearing potentially allowing brief spikes toward 32°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 6?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 6?
31°C 48%
30°C 25%
32°C 18%
29°C 8%
NEW
$10,723 Vol.
NEW
$10,723 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
8%
30°C
25%
31°C
48%
32°C
18%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 48%
30°C 25%
32°C 18%
29°C 8%
NEW
$10,723 Vol.
NEW
$10,723 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
24°C or below
$160 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$161 Vol.
1%
28°C
$820 Vol.
5%
29°C
$2,722 Vol.
8%
30°C
$3,150 Vol.
25%
31°C
$1,291 Vol.
48%
32°C
$594 Vol.
18%
33°C
$858 Vol.
5%
34°C or higher
$688 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Shenzhen on September 6 centers on a high near 30–31°C amid expected rainfall and cloud cover, driving the market’s heaviest weighting toward 31°C.** Multiple models and official outlooks indicate moderate to heavy rain, especially morning through afternoon, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima. Current conditions on September 5 show highs around 29–32°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly flow; the incoming moisture and thunderstorm activity tomorrow are expected to keep readings close to or slightly below the September climatological average of ~31°C. Traders appear to discount higher outcomes (32°C+) because precipitation and reduced insolation introduce realistic downside risk, while lower readings remain possible only with heavier or more persistent rain. Final observations from Shenzhen stations will resolve the market, with any late-day clearing potentially allowing brief spikes toward 32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$10,723End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Shenzhen on September 6 centers on a high near 30–31°C amid expected rainfall and cloud cover, driving the market’s heaviest weighting toward 31°C.** Multiple models and official outlooks indicate moderate to heavy rain, especially morning through afternoon, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima. Current conditions on September 5 show highs around 29–32°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly flow; the incoming moisture and thunderstorm activity tomorrow are expected to keep readings close to or slightly below the September climatological average of ~31°C. Traders appear to discount higher outcomes (32°C+) because precipitation and reduced insolation introduce realistic downside risk, while lower readings remain possible only with heavier or more persistent rain. Final observations from Shenzhen stations will resolve the market, with any late-day clearing potentially allowing brief spikes toward 32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,723End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus for Shenzhen on September 6 centers on a high near 30–31°C amid expected rainfall and cloud cover, driving the market’s heaviest weighting toward 31°C.** Multiple models and official outlooks indicate moderate to heavy rain, especially morning through afternoon, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima. Current conditions on September 5 show highs around 29–32°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly flow; the incoming moisture and thunderstorm activity tomorrow are expected to keep readings close to or slightly below the September climatological average of ~31°C. Traders appear to discount higher outcomes (32°C+) because precipitation and reduced insolation introduce realistic downside risk, while lower readings remain possible only with heavier or more persistent rain. Final observations from Shenzhen stations will resolve the market, with any late-day clearing potentially allowing brief spikes toward 32°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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