Current numerical weather prediction models, including those from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, indicate a daily maximum near 32°C for Wuhan on September 7 under mostly sunny skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity around 50-60%. This setup favors strong daytime solar heating with limited cloud interference, though ensemble spreads and minor variations in boundary-layer moisture or subsidence from the regional high-pressure system could add or subtract 1-2°C. Trader consensus clustering on 32-34°C reflects this narrow uncertainty range, with 33°C leading as models edge toward modest warming relative to climatological norms for early September. Updated runs ahead of the date will likely tighten resolution criteria based on official observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 7?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 7?
33°C 38%
34°C 29%
32°C 20%
35°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
21%
33°C
38%
34°C
29%
35°C
11%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 38%
34°C 29%
32°C 20%
35°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$20 Vol.
8%
32°C
$165 Vol.
21%
33°C
$168 Vol.
38%
34°C
$294 Vol.
29%
35°C
$24 Vol.
11%
36°C
$0 Vol.
3%
37°C
$111 Vol.
2%
38°C or higher
$60 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including those from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, indicate a daily maximum near 32°C for Wuhan on September 7 under mostly sunny skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity around 50-60%. This setup favors strong daytime solar heating with limited cloud interference, though ensemble spreads and minor variations in boundary-layer moisture or subsidence from the regional high-pressure system could add or subtract 1-2°C. Trader consensus clustering on 32-34°C reflects this narrow uncertainty range, with 33°C leading as models edge toward modest warming relative to climatological norms for early September. Updated runs ahead of the date will likely tighten resolution criteria based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$842End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including those from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, indicate a daily maximum near 32°C for Wuhan on September 7 under mostly sunny skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity around 50-60%. This setup favors strong daytime solar heating with limited cloud interference, though ensemble spreads and minor variations in boundary-layer moisture or subsidence from the regional high-pressure system could add or subtract 1-2°C. Trader consensus clustering on 32-34°C reflects this narrow uncertainty range, with 33°C leading as models edge toward modest warming relative to climatological norms for early September. Updated runs ahead of the date will likely tighten resolution criteria based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$842End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including those from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, indicate a daily maximum near 32°C for Wuhan on September 7 under mostly sunny skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity around 50-60%. This setup favors strong daytime solar heating with limited cloud interference, though ensemble spreads and minor variations in boundary-layer moisture or subsidence from the regional high-pressure system could add or subtract 1-2°C. Trader consensus clustering on 32-34°C reflects this narrow uncertainty range, with 33°C leading as models edge toward modest warming relative to climatological norms for early September. Updated runs ahead of the date will likely tighten resolution criteria based on official observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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