Forecast models from sources including the Malaysian Meteorological Department and international services indicate an overnight minimum near 26°C for Kuala Lumpur on September 5, consistent with the 67% market-implied probability. In this equatorial climate, the daily minimum typically occurs near dawn under the influence of high humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Recent observations and short-range guidance show typical September conditions with lows in the 24–27°C range and no strong cold-air advection or unusual rainfall to depress temperatures further. Historical baselines place September overnight averages around 23–24°C, but current model consensus supports a slightly warmer floor driven by persistent moisture and weak steering patterns. Updated station data from Sultan Abdul Aziz Shah Airport will determine final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 5?
25°C 17%
24°C 8%
23°C 3%
22°C 2%
$769 Vol.
$769 Vol.
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
8%
25°C
17%
26°C
71%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 17%
24°C 8%
23°C 3%
22°C 2%
$769 Vol.
$769 Vol.
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
8%
25°C
17%
26°C
71%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Malaysian Meteorological Department and international services indicate an overnight minimum near 26°C for Kuala Lumpur on September 5, consistent with the 67% market-implied probability. In this equatorial climate, the daily minimum typically occurs near dawn under the influence of high humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Recent observations and short-range guidance show typical September conditions with lows in the 24–27°C range and no strong cold-air advection or unusual rainfall to depress temperatures further. Historical baselines place September overnight averages around 23–24°C, but current model consensus supports a slightly warmer floor driven by persistent moisture and weak steering patterns. Updated station data from Sultan Abdul Aziz Shah Airport will determine final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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