Current forecast consensus from regional meteorological models places Shenzhen's overnight minimum near 26°C on September 5, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity above 80%, and light southerly flow that limits radiative cooling in the subtropical monsoon regime. These conditions, typical for early September, align with historical baselines where clear nights can dip to 24°C but overcast skies and urban heat retention hold lows higher. Trader emphasis on 27°C reflects the latest model runs showing minimal further drop before dawn, while 26°C remains competitive amid slight variations in dew point and wind forecasts; lower outcomes stay improbable without unexpected clear-sky development. Updated observations through the evening will refine resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 5?
24°C 10%
22°C 6%
23°C 6%
21°C or below 2%
$3,514 Vol.
$3,514 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
6%
24°C
10%
25°C
1%
26°C
34%
27°C
68%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
24°C 10%
22°C 6%
23°C 6%
21°C or below 2%
$3,514 Vol.
$3,514 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
21°C or below
$22 Vol.
2%
22°C
$12 Vol.
6%
23°C
$12 Vol.
6%
24°C
$152 Vol.
10%
25°C
$116 Vol.
1%
26°C
$106 Vol.
34%
27°C
$232 Vol.
68%
28°C
$1,125 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,101 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$591 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$45 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from regional meteorological models places Shenzhen's overnight minimum near 26°C on September 5, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity above 80%, and light southerly flow that limits radiative cooling in the subtropical monsoon regime. These conditions, typical for early September, align with historical baselines where clear nights can dip to 24°C but overcast skies and urban heat retention hold lows higher. Trader emphasis on 27°C reflects the latest model runs showing minimal further drop before dawn, while 26°C remains competitive amid slight variations in dew point and wind forecasts; lower outcomes stay improbable without unexpected clear-sky development. Updated observations through the evening will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$3,514End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from regional meteorological models places Shenzhen's overnight minimum near 26°C on September 5, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity above 80%, and light southerly flow that limits radiative cooling in the subtropical monsoon regime. These conditions, typical for early September, align with historical baselines where clear nights can dip to 24°C but overcast skies and urban heat retention hold lows higher. Trader emphasis on 27°C reflects the latest model runs showing minimal further drop before dawn, while 26°C remains competitive amid slight variations in dew point and wind forecasts; lower outcomes stay improbable without unexpected clear-sky development. Updated observations through the evening will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,514End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from regional meteorological models places Shenzhen's overnight minimum near 26°C on September 5, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity above 80%, and light southerly flow that limits radiative cooling in the subtropical monsoon regime. These conditions, typical for early September, align with historical baselines where clear nights can dip to 24°C but overcast skies and urban heat retention hold lows higher. Trader emphasis on 27°C reflects the latest model runs showing minimal further drop before dawn, while 26°C remains competitive amid slight variations in dew point and wind forecasts; lower outcomes stay improbable without unexpected clear-sky development. Updated observations through the evening will refine resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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