Incumbent Democrat Grace Meng holds a commanding position in New York’s 6th congressional district, a Queens-based seat with a solid Democratic partisan lean, as reflected in the 93.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Meng secured her party’s nomination in the June primary and benefits from established name recognition, superior fundraising, and the district’s consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Republican nominee Joseph Chou faces structural headwinds in a district where nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic. A major scandal, sharp national Republican surge altering turnout patterns, or unforeseen candidate withdrawal could still shift probabilities before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-06 House Election Winner
NY-06 House Election Winner
$15,917 Vol.
$15,917 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$15,917 Vol.
$15,917 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,916 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$9,001 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Grace Meng holds a commanding position in New York’s 6th congressional district, a Queens-based seat with a solid Democratic partisan lean, as reflected in the 93.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Meng secured her party’s nomination in the June primary and benefits from established name recognition, superior fundraising, and the district’s consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Republican nominee Joseph Chou faces structural headwinds in a district where nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic. A major scandal, sharp national Republican surge altering turnout patterns, or unforeseen candidate withdrawal could still shift probabilities before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$15,917End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Grace Meng holds a commanding position in New York’s 6th congressional district, a Queens-based seat with a solid Democratic partisan lean, as reflected in the 93.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Meng secured her party’s nomination in the June primary and benefits from established name recognition, superior fundraising, and the district’s consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Republican nominee Joseph Chou faces structural headwinds in a district where nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic. A major scandal, sharp national Republican surge altering turnout patterns, or unforeseen candidate withdrawal could still shift probabilities before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,917End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Grace Meng holds a commanding position in New York’s 6th congressional district, a Queens-based seat with a solid Democratic partisan lean, as reflected in the 93.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Meng secured her party’s nomination in the June primary and benefits from established name recognition, superior fundraising, and the district’s consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Republican nominee Joseph Chou faces structural headwinds in a district where nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic. A major scandal, sharp national Republican surge altering turnout patterns, or unforeseen candidate withdrawal could still shift probabilities before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions